Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:15 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.23
Jasmine Paolini -> 4.35

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Rybakina won 6-3 5-7 6-3 in the quarter in Stuttgart back in April 2024.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Jasmine Paolini – Stuttgart 19-April-2024

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

34 - 5win/loss

Hard
22-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
12-1
Rank
4
High
3
LWLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 35-7 22-4 12-2 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-2 6-3, Arantxa Rus 6-3 6-4, Elise Mertens 6-4 6-2 and Elina Svitolina 6-4 6-3.

In the 4th round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (6-4 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 59 points vs Svitolina’s 48. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina blasted 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 54% of her first serves in, winning 77% (20/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Rybakina broke Svitolina 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rybakina hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (323-137). 12-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has a compiled 87-35 match record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.

Elena has an overall 34-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Rybakina's Record

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

20 - 10win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
8-3
Rank
7
High
7
WLWWLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-12 12-6 10-4 0-1 3-1 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 15, Jasmine got to the quarter after defeating Daria Saville 6-3 6-4, Hailey Baptiste 6-4 7-66, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-1 3-6 6-0 and Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-1.

In the 4th round against Avanesyan, Jasmine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 6-1). During the match Paolini scored 92 points vs Avanesyan’s 73. Paolini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Paolini couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 73% of her first serves in, winning 58% (36/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Avanesyan 8 times after converting 47% of her break points (8/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jasmine has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Dubai where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Paolini has a compiled 20-10 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020, 2021 and 2023. See her history.

French Open
Paolini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
J.Paolini
4h:36
4h:36
Time on court​
6h:42
6h:42
1h:09
1h:09
Last match​
1h:54
1h:54
4
4
Match played
4
4
73
73
Games Played​
87
87
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
243
243
Total points​
326
326
60.8
60.8
Avg point​
81.5
81.5
108
108
Winners
118
118
27
27
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
21
21
Aces
3
3
5.3
5.3
Avg Aces
0.8
0.8
8
8
Double Faults
10
10
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
108/144
108/144
1st won total​
118/192
118/192
!
75%
75%
1st won %
61%
61%
31/75
31/75
2nd won total​
42/91
42/91
41%
41%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
19/27
19/27
BP won
26/54
26/54
4.8/6.8
4.8/6.8
Avg BP won
6.5/13.5
6.5/13.5
!
70%
70%
Won
48%
48%
13
13
Conceded
26
26
3.3
3.3
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
8
8
Broken
15
15
2
2
Avg Broken
3.8
3.8
5
5
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Paolini
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 73 87
Pts 243-183 326-265
Total Points 426 591
Winners 108 118
%Winners 44% 36%

Both Rybakina and Paolini played 4 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini lost 2 sets while Elena Rybakina hasn’t lost a set so far. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Paolini (8 vs 10). Therefore, Rybakina played 14 games less than Paolini. Elena scored 108 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 118 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Paolini
Aces 21 3
Avg per match 5.3 0.8
1st in 144/219 192/283
%1st in 66% 68%
1st pts 108/144 118/192
%1st pts 75% 61%
2nd pts 31/75 42/91
%2nd pts 41% 46%

Rybakina fired 21 aces (5.3 per match). Paolini bagged 3 aces (0.8 per match). Rybakina won 75% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Paolini
Won 19 26
Converted 19/27 26/54
% Converted 70% 48%
Conceded 13 26
Saved 5 11
% Saved 38% 42%
Times Broken 8 15

The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 19 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost her serve 8 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 26 times with a 48% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 42% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R1
Minnen
R2
Rus
R3
Mertens
R4
Svitolina
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 17 19 18 19 73
pts 65-47 61-47 58-41 59-48 243-183
Total points 112 108 99 107 426
Winners 27 34 27 20 108
%Winners 42% 56% 47% 34% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 3 5 21
Double Faults 4 1 2 1 8
1st in 39/59 43/58 36/54 26/48 144/219
% 1st in 66% 74% 67% 54% 66%
1st pts 27/39 34/43 27/36 20/26 108/144
% 1st pts 69% 79% 75% 77% 75%
2nd pts 6/20 6/15 8/18 11/22 31/75
% 2nd pts 30% 40% 44% 50% 41%
Breaks
Won 6 3 5 5 19
Converted 6/10 3/4 5/6 5/7 19/27
Converted % 60% 75% 83% 71% 70%
Conceded 4 3 3 3 13
Saved 1/4 2/3 1/3 1/3 5
Saved % 25% 67% 33% 33% 40%
Times Broken 3 1 2 2 8
Paolini
R1
Gavrilova
R2
Baptiste
R3
Andreescu
R4
Avanesyan
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-4 7-66 6-1 3-6 6-0 4-6 6-0 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 19 23 22 23 87
pts 73-60 82-75 79-57 92-73 326-265
Total points 133 157 136 165 591
Winners 25 30 27 36 118
%Winners 34% 37% 34% 39% 36%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 1 0 3
Double Faults 3 3 1 3 10
1st in 45/65 47/75 38/58 62/85 192/283
% 1st in 69% 63% 66% 73% 68%
1st pts 25/45 30/47 27/38 36/62 118/192
% 1st pts 56% 64% 71% 58% 61%
2nd pts 7/20 14/28 11/20 10/23 42/91
% 2nd pts 35% 50% 55% 43% 46%
Breaks
Won 7 5 6 8 26
Converted 7/17 5/8 6/12 8/17 26/54
Converted % 41% 63% 50% 47% 48%
Conceded 8 6 3 9 26
Saved 3/8 2/6 1/3 5/9 11
Saved % 38% 33% 33% 56% 40%
Times Broken 5 4 2 4 15

Tennis Scores – French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw