Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:15 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.23
Jasmine Paolini -> 4.35
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Rybakina won 6-3 5-7 6-3 in the quarter in Stuttgart back in April 2024.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Jasmine Paolini – Stuttgart 19-April-2024
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-2 6-3, Arantxa Rus 6-3 6-4, Elise Mertens 6-4 6-2 and Elina Svitolina 6-4 6-3.
In the 4th round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (6-4 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 59 points vs Svitolina’s 48. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina blasted 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 54% of her first serves in, winning 77% (20/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Rybakina broke Svitolina 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (323-137). 12-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has a compiled 87-35 match record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.
Elena has an overall 34-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Jasmine got to the quarter after defeating Daria Saville 6-3 6-4, Hailey Baptiste 6-4 7-66, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-1 3-6 6-0 and Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-1.
In the 4th round against Avanesyan, Jasmine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 6-1). During the match Paolini scored 92 points vs Avanesyan’s 73. Paolini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Paolini couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 73% of her first serves in, winning 58% (36/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Avanesyan 8 times after converting 47% of her break points (8/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jasmine has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Dubai where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Paolini has a compiled 20-10 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020, 2021 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 87 |
| Pts | 243-183 | 326-265 |
| Total Points | 426 | 591 |
| Winners | 108 | 118 |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% |
Both Rybakina and Paolini played 4 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini lost 2 sets while Elena Rybakina hasn’t lost a set so far. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Paolini (8 vs 10). Therefore, Rybakina played 14 games less than Paolini. Elena scored 108 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 118 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 0.8 |
| 1st in | 144/219 | 192/283 |
| %1st in | 66% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 108/144 | 118/192 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 31/75 | 42/91 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 46% |
Rybakina fired 21 aces (5.3 per match). Paolini bagged 3 aces (0.8 per match). Rybakina won 75% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 26 |
| Converted | 19/27 | 26/54 |
| % Converted | 70% | 48% |
| Conceded | 13 | 26 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 38% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 15 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 19 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost her serve 8 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 26 times with a 48% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 42% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||||
| R1 Minnen |
R2 Rus |
R3 Mertens |
R4 Svitolina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 73 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 61-47 | 58-41 | 59-48 | 243-183 | |
| Total points | 112 | 108 | 99 | 107 | 426 | |
| Winners | 27 | 34 | 27 | 20 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 56% | 47% | 34% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 43/58 | 36/54 | 26/48 | 144/219 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 74% | 67% | 54% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 34/43 | 27/36 | 20/26 | 108/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 75% | 77% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/20 | 6/15 | 8/18 | 11/22 | 31/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 40% | 44% | 50% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 5/7 | 19/27 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 83% | 71% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 2/3 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Paolini | ||||||
| R1 Gavrilova |
R2 Baptiste |
R3 Andreescu |
R4 Avanesyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-66 | 6-1 3-6 6-0 | 4-6 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 87 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 82-75 | 79-57 | 92-73 | 326-265 | |
| Total points | 133 | 157 | 136 | 165 | 591 | |
| Winners | 25 | 30 | 27 | 36 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 37% | 34% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 45/65 | 47/75 | 38/58 | 62/85 | 192/283 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 63% | 66% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 25/45 | 30/47 | 27/38 | 36/62 | 118/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 64% | 71% | 58% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/20 | 14/28 | 11/20 | 10/23 | 42/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 50% | 55% | 43% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 5/8 | 6/12 | 8/17 | 26/54 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 63% | 50% | 47% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 5/9 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 33% | 33% | 56% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
WLWLLWLWWL Tennis Scores – French Open
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- Guilherme ClezarClezar – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-4 4-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cori GauffGauff (10-1) – H2H and prediction
