Mackenzie Mcdonald and Shintaro Mochizuki will face off in the 2nd round of the Surbiton Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.75
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
This will be the 2nd time that Mackenzie Mcdonald and Shintaro Mochizuki fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Mcdonald won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Seoul back in 2022.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
1 - 7win/loss
96
37
LLLWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Alex Bolt 7-63 6-0.
In the 1st round, Mcdonald had a good straight sets win against Bolt (7-63 6-0). During the match, Mcdonald scored 64 points vs Bolt’s 47. Mcdonald was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mcdonald recorded 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Mackenzie Mcdonald lost the serve once. Furthermore, Mcdonald put 83% of his first serves in, winning 76% (37/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (4/10) on the 2nd serve. Mcdonald broke Bolt 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Mcdonald has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (273-213). 1-0 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Mcdonald has a composed 31-22 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
The American has a composed 1-7 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Surbiton Challenger
Shintaro Mochizuki
13 - 13win/loss
141
129
LLLLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-17 | 5-8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 162, the Japanese got to the 2nd round after beating Terence Atmane 6-74 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round against Atmane, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-1 6-4). During the match Mochizuki scored 103 points vs Atmane’s 90. Shintaro was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Shintaro Mochizuki conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 9 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 68% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the 2nd serve. Mochizuki was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Atmane 3 times.
Shintaro has a composed 13-13 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Surbiton Challenger
Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mcdonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 |
| Pts | 64-47 | 103-90 |
| Total Points | 111 | 193 |
| Winners | 37 | 50 |
| %Winners | 58% | 49% |
Both Mcdonald and Mochizuki played 1 match. At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki conceded 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mcdonald has played 1 set(s) less than Mochizuki (2 vs 3). Therefore, Mcdonald played 11 games less than Mochizuki. Mcdonald scored 37 winners (58% of the total points). On the other side, Mochizuki scored 50 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mcdonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 0 |
| 1st in | 49/59 | 71/105 |
| %1st in | 83% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 50/71 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 4/10 | 20/34 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 59% |
Mcdonald managed to score 6 aces . Mochizuki didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Mcdonald won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mcdonald | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/3 |
| % Converted | 67% | 100% |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 |
| Saved | 0 | 9 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mackenzie lost his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Shintaro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 9 break points.
| Mcdonald | |||
| R1 Bolt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-47 | 64-47 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 58% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 49/59 | 49/59 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 83% | |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 37/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mochizuki | |||
| R1 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 103-90 | 103-90 | |
| Total points | 193 | 193 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 71/105 | 71/105 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 50/71 | 50/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLWLL
LLLLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Surbiton Challenger
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Emilio NavaNava (2-6 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-60) – See score progression
- Paul JubbJubb – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alex BoltBolt (7-63 6-0) – See score progression
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Maxime CressyCressy (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Arthur FeryFery (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Billy HarrisHarris – Juncheng ShangShang (6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- Leandro RiediRiedi – Dominic StrickerStricker (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-74 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Paul JubbJubb – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Emilio NavaNava (2-6 6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Maxime CressyCressy (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-6(0)) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alex BoltBolt (7-6(3) 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Omar JasikaJasika – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Daniel EvansEvans (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paul JubbJubb – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Billy HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
