Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Navarro will fight against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.28
Emma Navarro -> 3.7
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Emma Navarro
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Navarro face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Navarro (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Navarro won 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the 4th round in Indian Wells back in March 2024.
Highlights Emma Navarro vs Aryna Sabalenka – Indian Wells 13-March-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-9 | 14-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka reached the 4th round after beating Erika Andreeva 6-1 6-2, Moyuka Uchijima 6-2 6-2 and Paula Badosa Gibert 7-5 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Badosa (7-5 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Badosa’s 51. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 69% of her first serves in, winning 63% (22/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Badosa 7 times after converting 39% of her break points (7/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (346-161). 14-3 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an aggregate76-38 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Belarussian has an overall 28-7 win-loss record in 2024, 14-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Emma Navarro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-14 | 21-7 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Navarro reached the 4th round after beating Zeynep Sonmez 6-2 6-0, Sara Errani 6-2 7-5 and Madison Keys 7-65 7-63.
In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Keys (7-65 7-63). During the match Navarro scored 95 points vs Keys’s 85. Emma was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
About the serving games, Navarro managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Emma Navarro lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 77% of her first serves in, winning 66% (49/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Keys 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Hobart where she beat Elise Mertens in the final 6-1 4-6 7-5.
Navarro has a composed 33-12 win-loss record in 2024, 12-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 60 |
| Pts | 185-122 | 219-162 |
| Total Points | 307 | 381 |
| Winners | 67 | 88 |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% |
Both Sabalenka and Navarro played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Navarro have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Sabalenka played 10 games less than Navarro. Aryna scored 67 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Navarro scored 88 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 96/148 | 138/193 |
| %1st in | 65% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 67/96 | 88/138 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 31/52 | 29/55 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 53% |
Sabalenka recorded 3 aces (1 per match). Navarro blasted 4 aces (1.3 per match). Sabalenka won 70% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 17 |
| Converted | 16/31 | 17/25 |
| % Converted | 52% | 68% |
| Conceded | 11 | 18 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 64% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 9 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 17 times with a 68% conversion rate. Emma conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R1 Andreeva |
R2 Uchijima |
R3 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 19 | 50 | |
| pts | 56-33 | 62-38 | 67-51 | 185-122 | |
| Total points | 89 | 100 | 118 | 307 | |
| Winners | 23 | 22 | 22 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/50 | 29/47 | 35/51 | 96/148 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 62% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 22/29 | 22/35 | 67/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 76% | 63% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 13/18 | 8/16 | 31/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 72% | 50% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/7 | 7/18 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 57% | 39% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 1/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 25% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Navarro | |||||
| R1 Sonmez |
R2 Errani |
R3 Keys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 6-2 7-5 | 7-65 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 20 | 26 | 60 | |
| pts | 55-24 | 69-53 | 95-85 | 219-162 | |
| Total points | 79 | 122 | 180 | 381 | |
| Winners | 14 | 25 | 49 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 36% | 52% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 20/38 | 44/59 | 74/96 | 138/193 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 75% | 77% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 14/20 | 25/44 | 49/74 | 88/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 57% | 66% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 8/15 | 8/22 | 29/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 53% | 36% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 7/9 | 4/9 | 17/25 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 78% | 44% | 68% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/6 | 6/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 60% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
WWLLWWWLWL Tennis Scores – French Open
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-2) – H2H and prediction
