Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur will face off in the 4^th round of the French Open for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.533
Alex De Minaur -> 2.5

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 9^th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 6-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 7-6(3) 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Beijing back in 2023.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur – Beijing 30-September-2023

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, the Russian reached the 4^th round after beating Dominik Koepfer 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3, Miomir Kecmanovic 6-1 5-0 ret. and Tomas Machac 7-6⁴ 7-5 1-6 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Machac (7-6⁴ 7-5 1-6 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 144 points vs Machac’s 141. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 61 winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 14 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 66% (61/93) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (28/56) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Machac 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Medvedev has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (491-194). 9-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 66-42 record in the last years on clay.

The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

The Russian has a compiled 27-7 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 11, the Australian reached the 4^th round after defeating Alex Michelsen 6-1 6-0 6-2, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-5 6-1 6-4 and Jan-Lennard Struff 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3.

In the 3^rd round against Struff, De Minaur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3). During the match De Minaur scored 128 points vs Struff’s 118. De Minaur was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.

About the serving games, De Minaur blasted 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 60% of his first serves in, winning 65% (55/84) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (29/57) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Struff 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4.

Alex has a composed 28-10 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2019, 2021 and 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	De Minaur
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	11	10
Tot Games	94	88
Pts	328-275	321-248
Total Points	603	569
Winners	140	109
%Winners	43%	34%

Both Medvedev and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev conceded 2 sets, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Medvedev has played 1 set more than De Minaur (11 vs 10). Therefore, Medvedev played 6 games more than De Minaur. Daniil scored 140 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur struck 109 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	De Minaur
Aces	21	8
Avg per match	7	2.7
1st in	193/288	154/284
%1st in	67%	54%
1st pts	140/193	109/154
%1st pts	73%	71%
2nd pts	44/95	74/130
%2nd pts	46%	57%

Medvedev struck 21 aces (7 per match). De Minaur struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Medvedev won 73% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	De Minaur
Won	17	22
Converted	17/30	22/36
% Converted	57%	61%
Conceded	19	22
Saved	10	15
% Saved	53%	68%
Times Broken	9	7

Daniil broke his opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 22 times with a 61% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
	R1 Koepfer	R2 Kecmanovic	R3 Machac	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3	6-1 5-0 ret.	7-64 7-5 1-6 6-4
Tot Set	4	2	4	10
Tot Games	40	12	42	94
pts	134-109	50-25	144-141	328-275
Total points	243	75	285	603
Winners	56	23	61	140
%Winners	42%	46%	42%	43%
SERVE
Aces	1	6	14	21
Double Faults	3	1	9	13
1st in	73/108	27/31	93/149	193/288
% 1st in	68%	87%	62%	67%
1st pts	56/73	23/27	61/93	140/193
% 1st pts	77%	85%	66%	73%
2nd pts	15/35	1/4	28/56	44/95
% 2nd pts	43%	25%	50%	46%
Breaks
Won	7	5	5	17
Converted	7/11	5/9	5/10	17/30
Converted %	64%	56%	50%	57%
Conceded	4	0	15	19
Saved	0/4	0/0	10/15	10
Saved %	0%	–	67%	22%
Times Broken	4	0	5	9

De Minaur
	R1 Michelsen	R2 Munar Clar	R3 Struff	Total
Score	6-1 6-0 6-2	7-5 6-1 6-4	4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	4	10
Tot Games	21	29	38	88
pts	91-52	102-78	128-118	321-248
Total points	143	180	246	569
Winners	24	30	55	109
%Winners	26%	29%	43%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	5	8
Double Faults	4	3	3	10
1st in	32/62	38/81	84/141	154/284
% 1st in	52%	47%	60%	54%
1st pts	24/32	30/38	55/84	109/154
% 1st pts	75%	79%	65%	71%
2nd pts	20/30	25/43	29/57	74/130
% 2nd pts	67%	58%	51%	57%
Breaks
Won	8	7	7	22
Converted	8/13	7/13	7/10	22/36
Converted %	62%	54%	70%	61%
Conceded	3	4	15	22
Saved	2/3	2/4	11/15	15
Saved %	67%	50%	73%	63%
Times Broken	1	2	4	7

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Taylor FritzFritz – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 6-2 6-7⁴ 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-5 6-7⁶ 2-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tomas MachacMachac (7-6⁴ 7-5 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-6⁰ 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Zizou BergsBergs (6-3 7-6⁴ 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Jozef KovalikKovalik (7-5 6-1 7-6²) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Sebastian OfnerOfner (3-6 6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (7-6⁶ 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-5) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-6) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (3-2) – H2H and prediction