Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina will play each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.33
Elina Svitolina -> 3.34
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Svitolina won 1-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in the Bro. in Tokyo back in 2021.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-9 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani got to the 4th round after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-2 6-3, Arantxa Rus 6-3 6-4 and Elise Mertens 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rybakina scored 58 points vs Mertens’s 41. Elena was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 67% of her first serves in, winning 75% (27/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Mertens 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Rybakina has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (322-137). 11-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has a composed 86-35 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.
Elena has a compiled 33-5 win-loss record in 2024, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Elina Svitolina
18 - 10win/loss
24
3
LWWLWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-9 | 9-5 | 10-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Elina reached the 4th round after beating Karolina Pliskova 3-6 6-4 6-2, Diane Parry 6-4 7-63 and Ana Bogdan 7-5 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Elina had a good straight sets win against Bogdan (7-5 6-2). During the match Svitolina scored 72 points vs Bogdan’s 51. The Ukrainian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Svitolina made 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elina Svitolina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 60% of her first serves in, winning 62% (26/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Svitolina broke Bogdan 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Svitolina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Svitolina’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Auckland.
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 18-10 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2015, 2017, 2020 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 70 |
| Pts | 184-135 | 239-197 |
| Total Points | 319 | 436 |
| Winners | 88 | 90 |
| %Winners | 48% | 38% |
Both Rybakina and Svitolina played 3 matches. At the moment, Elina Svitolina conceded 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Svitolina (6 vs 7). Therefore, Rybakina played 16 games less than Svitolina. Rybakina scored 88 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Elina made 90 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 118/171 | 139/216 |
| %1st in | 69% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 88/118 | 90/139 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 20/53 | 35/77 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 45% |
Rybakina made 16 aces (5.3 per match). Svitolina managed to score 11 aces (3.7 per match). Rybakina won 75% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 18 |
| Converted | 14/20 | 18/37 |
| % Converted | 70% | 49% |
| Conceded | 10 | 25 |
| Saved | 4 | 13 |
| % Saved | 40% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 12 |
Elena broke her opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. Svitolina broke her opponents 18 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||||
| R1 Minnen |
R2 Rus |
R3 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 18 | 54 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 61-47 | 58-41 | 184-135 | |
| Total points | 112 | 108 | 99 | 319 | |
| Winners | 27 | 34 | 27 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 56% | 47% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 43/58 | 36/54 | 118/171 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 74% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 34/43 | 27/36 | 88/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/20 | 6/15 | 8/18 | 20/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 40% | 44% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 14/20 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 83% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 2/3 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 67% | 33% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Svitolina | |||||
| R1 Pliskova |
R2 Parry |
R3 Bogdan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 7-63 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 23 | 20 | 70 | |
| pts | 87-76 | 80-70 | 72-51 | 239-197 | |
| Total points | 163 | 150 | 123 | 436 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | 26 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/78 | 43/68 | 42/70 | 139/216 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 63% | 60% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 32/54 | 32/43 | 26/42 | 90/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 74% | 62% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 11/25 | 13/28 | 35/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 44% | 46% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 4/14 | 7/10 | 18/37 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 29% | 70% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 3/6 | 5/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 56% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWWLW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Clara TausonTauson – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
