Daniil Medvedev and Tomas Machac will play each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.37
Tomas Machac -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Tomas Machac
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Tomas Machac square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Indian wells back in 2022.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Tomas Machac – Indian wells 12-March-2022
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Medvedev got to the 3rd round after defeating Dominik Koepfer 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-1 5-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Kecmanovic, the Russian had a free pass after Kecmanovic retired on a 6-1 5-0 . scoreline.
Medvedev has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (490-194). 8-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a composed 65-42 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Medvedev’s best result of the year was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Medvedev has a compiled 26-7 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-8 | 11-4 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 34 (career-high), Machac reached the 3rd round after beating Nuno Borges 7-63 6-4 6-3 and Mariano Navone 6-2 6-1 3-6 1-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Machac had a tough win against Navone to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-2 6-1 3-6 1-6 6-1). During the match Machac scored 138 points vs Navone’s 119. Tomas was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
About the serving games, Machac scored 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Tomas Machac lost the serve 7 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Machac put 63% of his first serves in, winning 62% (52/84) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (21/50) on the 2nd serve. Machac broke Navone 10 times after converting 71% of his break points (10/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Machac has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Tomas’s best result of the current season was getting to the final Geneva.
Machac has a composed 22-9 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 70 |
| Pts | 184-134 | 256-217 |
| Total Points | 318 | 473 |
| Winners | 79 | 99 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Both Medvedev and Machac played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Tomas Machac conceded 2 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Machac (7 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 18 games less than Machac. Medvedev scored 79 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Machac recorded 99 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 100/139 | 144/229 |
| %1st in | 72% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 79/100 | 99/144 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 16/39 | 36/85 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 42% |
Medvedev scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Machac recorded 3 aces (1.5 per match). Medvedev won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 16 |
| Converted | 12/20 | 16/26 |
| % Converted | 60% | 62% |
| Conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 10 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Tomas broke his opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. Machac conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Koepfer |
R2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 6-1 5-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 40 | 12 | 52 | |
| pts | 134-109 | 50-25 | 184-134 | |
| Total points | 243 | 75 | 318 | |
| Winners | 56 | 23 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 73/108 | 27/31 | 100/139 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 87% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 56/73 | 23/27 | 79/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 85% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 1/4 | 16/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 25% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 5/9 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 56% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Machac | ||||
| R1 Borges |
R2 Navone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 3-6 1-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 38 | 70 | |
| pts | 118-98 | 138-119 | 256-217 | |
| Total points | 216 | 257 | 473 | |
| Winners | 47 | 52 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 60/95 | 84/134 | 144/229 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 47/60 | 52/84 | 99/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 62% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 21/50 | 36/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 10/14 | 16/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 71% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 14 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 7/14 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 50% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWL
LWLLWWWLWW Tennis Scores – French Open
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- Sebastian KordaKorda – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-3) – H2H and prediction
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