Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.21
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 4.45

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 ret. in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in April 2024.

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

27 - 7win/loss

Hard
14-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
13-3
Rank
3
High
1
LWLWWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-9 14-4 15-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka got to the 3rd round after defeating Erika Andreeva 6-1 6-2 and Moyuka Uchijima 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Uchijima (6-2 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Uchijima’s 38. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka scored 2 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (22/29) of her 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aryna broke Uchijima 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 62% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (345-161). 13-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled75-38 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Sabalenka has a composed 27-7 win-loss record in 2024, 13-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Sabalenka's Record

Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert

11 - 10win/loss

Hard
5-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-4
Rank
113
High
2
WLWWLWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-11 5-6 6-5 0-0 1-0 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2020 14-9 7-6 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 139, the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after beating Katie Boulter 4-6 7-5 6-4 and Yulia Putintseva 4-6 6-1 7-5.

In the 2nd round against Putintseva, Paula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-5). During the match Badosa scored 93 points vs Putintseva’s 79. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, Badosa scored 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 74% of her first serves in, winning 64% (44/69) of the points behind her 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Paula has an aggregate 11-10 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.

French Open
Badosa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
P.Badosa
2h:10
2h:10
Time on court​
!
4h:19
4h:19
1h:02
1h:02
Last match​
!
2h:01
2h:01
2
2
Match played
2
2
31
31
Games Played​
61
61
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
118
118
Total points​
197
197
59
59
Avg point​
98.5
98.5
45
45
Winners
86
86
22.5
22.5
Avg Winners​
43
43
38%
38%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
9
9
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
1
1
Double Faults
7
7
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
45/61
45/61
1st won total​
86/137
86/137
!
74%
74%
1st won %
63%
63%
23/36
23/36
2nd won total​
34/52
34/52
!
64%
64%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
9/13
9/13
BP won
10/17
10/17
4.5/6.5
4.5/6.5
Avg BP won
5/8.5
5/8.5
!
69%
69%
Won
!
59%
59%
7
7
Conceded
17
17
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
1
1
Broken
7
7
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
6
6
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Badosa
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 31 61
Pts 118-71 197-177
Total Points 189 374
Winners 45 86
%Winners 38% 44%

Both Sabalenka and Badosa played 2 matches. At the moment, Paula Badosa Gibert conceded 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (4 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 30 games less than Badosa. Sabalenka scored 45 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa scored 86 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Badosa
Aces 3 9
Avg per match 1.5 4.5
1st in 61/97 137/189
%1st in 63% 72%
1st pts 45/61 86/137
%1st pts 74% 63%
2nd pts 23/36 34/52
%2nd pts 64% 65%

Sabalenka struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Badosa blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Sabalenka won 74% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Badosa
Won 9 10
Converted 9/13 10/17
% Converted 69% 59%
Conceded 7 17
Saved 6 10
% Saved 86% 59%
Times Broken 1 7

The Belarussian broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Andreeva		 R2
Uchijima		 Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 16 31
pts 56-33 62-38 118-71
Total points 89 100 189
Winners 23 22 45
%Winners 41% 35% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 32/50 29/47 61/97
% 1st in 64% 62% 63%
1st pts 23/32 22/29 45/61
% 1st pts 72% 76% 74%
2nd pts 10/18 13/18 23/36
% 2nd pts 56% 72% 64%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/6 4/7 9/13
Converted % 83% 57% 69%
Conceded 3 4 7
Saved 2/3 4/4 6
Saved % 67% 100% 84%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Badosa
R1
Boulter		 R2
Putintseva		 Total
Score 4-6 7-5 6-4 4-6 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 32 29 61
pts 104-98 93-79 197-177
Total points 202 172 374
Winners 42 44 86
%Winners 40% 47% 44%
SERVE
Aces 6 3 9
Double Faults 5 2 7
1st in 68/96 69/93 137/189
% 1st in 71% 74% 72%
1st pts 42/68 44/69 86/137
% 1st pts 62% 64% 63%
2nd pts 17/28 17/24 34/52
% 2nd pts 61% 71% 65%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/10 5/7 10/17
Converted % 50% 71% 59%
Conceded 9 8 17
Saved 5/9 5/8 10
Saved % 56% 63% 60%
Times Broken 4 3 7

Tennis Scores – French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sabalenka
More Stats
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Badosa

Click for FULL STATS