Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.21
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 ret. in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in April 2024.
Aryna Sabalenka
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 30-9 | 14-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka got to the 3rd round after defeating Erika Andreeva 6-1 6-2 and Moyuka Uchijima 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Uchijima (6-2 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Uchijima’s 38. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka scored 2 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (22/29) of her 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aryna broke Uchijima 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 62% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (345-161). 13-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled75-38 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Sabalenka has a composed 27-7 win-loss record in 2024, 13-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Paula Badosa Gibert
11 - 10win/loss
93
2
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after beating Katie Boulter 4-6 7-5 6-4 and Yulia Putintseva 4-6 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Putintseva, Paula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-5). During the match Badosa scored 93 points vs Putintseva’s 79. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa scored 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 74% of her first serves in, winning 64% (44/69) of the points behind her 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Paula has an aggregate 11-10 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
Tot Games | 31 | 61 |
Pts | 118-71 | 197-177 |
Total Points | 189 | 374 |
Winners | 45 | 86 |
%Winners | 38% | 44% |
Both Sabalenka and Badosa played 2 matches. At the moment, Paula Badosa Gibert conceded 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (4 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 30 games less than Badosa. Sabalenka scored 45 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa scored 86 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Aces | 3 | 9 |
Avg per match | 1.5 | 4.5 |
1st in | 61/97 | 137/189 |
%1st in | 63% | 72% |
1st pts | 45/61 | 86/137 |
%1st pts | 74% | 63% |
2nd pts | 23/36 | 34/52 |
%2nd pts | 64% | 65% |
Sabalenka struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Badosa blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Sabalenka won 74% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Won | 9 | 10 |
Converted | 9/13 | 10/17 |
% Converted | 69% | 59% |
Conceded | 7 | 17 |
Saved | 6 | 10 |
% Saved | 86% | 59% |
Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | ||||
R1 Andreeva |
R2 Uchijima |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 31 | |
pts | 56-33 | 62-38 | 118-71 | |
Total points | 89 | 100 | 189 | |
Winners | 23 | 22 | 45 | |
%Winners | 41% | 35% | 38% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
1st in | 32/50 | 29/47 | 61/97 | |
% 1st in | 64% | 62% | 63% | |
1st pts | 23/32 | 22/29 | 45/61 | |
% 1st pts | 72% | 76% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 10/18 | 13/18 | 23/36 | |
% 2nd pts | 56% | 72% | 64% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
Converted | 5/6 | 4/7 | 9/13 | |
Converted % | 83% | 57% | 69% | |
Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 6 | |
Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Badosa | ||||
R1 Boulter |
R2 Putintseva |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | 4-6 6-1 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 32 | 29 | 61 | |
pts | 104-98 | 93-79 | 197-177 | |
Total points | 202 | 172 | 374 | |
Winners | 42 | 44 | 86 | |
%Winners | 40% | 47% | 44% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
1st in | 68/96 | 69/93 | 137/189 | |
% 1st in | 71% | 74% | 72% | |
1st pts | 42/68 | 44/69 | 86/137 | |
% 1st pts | 62% | 64% | 63% | |
2nd pts | 17/28 | 17/24 | 34/52 | |
% 2nd pts | 61% | 71% | 65% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
Converted | 5/10 | 5/7 | 10/17 | |
Converted % | 50% | 71% | 59% | |
Conceded | 9 | 8 | 17 | |
Saved | 5/9 | 5/8 | 10 | |
Saved % | 56% | 63% | 60% | |
Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Head 2 Head
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