Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.176
Elise Mertens -> 4.95
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 6th time that Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but Mertens leads 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-1 6-0 in the 3rd round in Brisbane back in January 2024.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens – Brisbane 04-January-2024
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani got to the 3rd round after beating Greetje Minnen 6-2 6-3 and Arantxa Rus 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Rus (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 61 points vs Rus’s 47. Rybakina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 74% of her first serves in, winning 79% (34/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Rus 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a terrific win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (321-137). 10-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an overall 85-35 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.
Rybakina has a compiled 32-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Mertens reached the 3rd round after beating Maria Lourdes Carle 6-3 7-68 and Petra Martic 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Elise had a good straight sets win against Martic (6-4 6-3). During the match Mertens scored 64 points vs Martic’s 50. The Belgian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Mertens made 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was very effective on serve to win 81% (26/32) of her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Elise broke Martic 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Belgian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Hobart.
The Belgian has a compiled 16-12 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2018, 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 41 |
| Pts | 126-94 | 154-132 |
| Total Points | 220 | 286 |
| Winners | 61 | 56 |
| %Winners | 48% | 36% |
Both Rybakina and Mertens played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Mertens have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rybakina played 5 games less than Mertens. Rybakina scored 61 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian bagged 56 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 82/117 | 85/150 |
| %1st in | 70% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 61/82 | 56/85 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 12/35 | 30/65 |
| %2nd pts | 34% | 46% |
Rybakina recorded 13 aces (6.5 per match). Mertens fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Rybakina won 74% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 34% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/14 | 10/15 |
| % Converted | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 43% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Elena lost her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Mertens broke her opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R1 Minnen |
R2 Rus |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 61-47 | 126-94 | |
| Total points | 112 | 108 | 220 | |
| Winners | 27 | 34 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 56% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 43/58 | 82/117 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 74% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 34/43 | 61/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/20 | 6/15 | 12/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 40% | 34% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 3/4 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 67% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Lourdes |
R2 Martic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-68 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 41 | |
| pts | 90-82 | 64-50 | 154-132 | |
| Total points | 172 | 114 | 286 | |
| Winners | 30 | 26 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 53/90 | 32/60 | 85/150 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 53% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 30/53 | 26/32 | 56/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 81% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/37 | 15/28 | 30/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 54% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 3/5 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 60% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 1/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 50% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
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