Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.176
Elise Mertens -> 4.95

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Elise Mertens

This will be the 6th time that Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but Mertens leads 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-1 6-0 in the 3rd round in Brisbane back in January 2024.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens – Brisbane 04-January-2024

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

32 - 5win/loss

Hard
22-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
10-1
Rank
4
High
3
WLWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 36-7 22-4 12-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani got to the 3rd round after beating Greetje Minnen 6-2 6-3 and Arantxa Rus 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Rus (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 61 points vs Rus’s 47. Rybakina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 74% of her first serves in, winning 79% (34/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Rus 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a terrific win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (321-137). 10-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an overall 85-35 record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.

Rybakina has a compiled 32-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Rybakina's Record

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens

16 - 12win/loss

Hard
9-7
I Hard
1-1
Clay
6-4
Rank
33
High
12
WLWLWLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 19-16 9-7 6-5 1-1 3-3 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
2020 34-13 17-7 9-4 8-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 27, Mertens reached the 3rd round after beating Maria Lourdes Carle 6-3 7-68 and Petra Martic 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Elise had a good straight sets win against Martic (6-4 6-3). During the match Mertens scored 64 points vs Martic’s 50. The Belgian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Mertens made 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was very effective on serve to win 81% (26/32) of her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Elise broke Martic 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belgian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Belgian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Hobart.

The Belgian has a compiled 16-12 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2018, 2022 and 2023. See her history.

French Open
Mertens's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
E.Mertens
2h:20
2h:20
Time on court​
!
3h:51
3h:51
1h:07
1h:07
Last match​
1h:27
1h:27
2
2
Match played
2
2
36
36
Games Played​
41
41
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
126
126
Total points​
154
154
63
63
Avg point​
77
77
61
61
Winners
56
56
30.5
30.5
Avg Winners​
28
28
48%
48%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
3
3
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
5
5
Double Faults
9
9
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
61/82
61/82
1st won total​
56/85
56/85
!
74%
74%
1st won %
66%
66%
12/35
12/35
2nd won total​
30/65
30/65
!
34%
34%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
9/14
9/14
BP won
10/15
10/15
4.5/7
4.5/7
Avg BP won
5/7.5
5/7.5
!
64%
64%
Won
!
67%
67%
7
7
Conceded
13
13
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
4
4
Broken
6
6
2
2
Avg Broken
3
3
3
3
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Mertens
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 36 41
Pts 126-94 154-132
Total Points 220 286
Winners 61 56
%Winners 48% 36%

Both Rybakina and Mertens played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Mertens have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rybakina played 5 games less than Mertens. Rybakina scored 61 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian bagged 56 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Mertens
Aces 13 3
Avg per match 6.5 1.5
1st in 82/117 85/150
%1st in 70% 57%
1st pts 61/82 56/85
%1st pts 74% 66%
2nd pts 12/35 30/65
%2nd pts 34% 46%

Rybakina recorded 13 aces (6.5 per match). Mertens fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Rybakina won 74% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 34% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Mertens
Won 9 10
Converted 9/14 10/15
% Converted 64% 67%
Conceded 7 13
Saved 3 7
% Saved 43% 54%
Times Broken 4 6

The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Elena lost her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Mertens broke her opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R1
Minnen
R2
Rus
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 19 36
pts 65-47 61-47 126-94
Total points 112 108 220
Winners 27 34 61
%Winners 42% 56% 48%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 13
Double Faults 4 1 5
1st in 39/59 43/58 82/117
% 1st in 66% 74% 70%
1st pts 27/39 34/43 61/82
% 1st pts 69% 79% 74%
2nd pts 6/20 6/15 12/35
% 2nd pts 30% 40% 34%
Breaks
Won 6 3 9
Converted 6/10 3/4 9/14
Converted % 60% 75% 64%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 1/4 2/3 3
Saved % 25% 67% 46%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Mertens
R1
Lourdes
R2
Martic
Total
Score 6-3 7-68 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 22 19 41
pts 90-82 64-50 154-132
Total points 172 114 286
Winners 30 26 56
%Winners 33% 41% 36%
SERVE
Aces 0 3 3
Double Faults 4 5 9
1st in 53/90 32/60 85/150
% 1st in 59% 53% 57%
1st pts 30/53 26/32 56/85
% 1st pts 57% 81% 66%
2nd pts 15/37 15/28 30/65
% 2nd pts 41% 54% 46%
Breaks
Won 7 3 10
Converted 7/10 3/5 10/15
Converted % 70% 60% 67%
Conceded 11 2 13
Saved 6/11 1/2 7
Saved % 55% 50% 53%
Times Broken 5 1 6

Tennis Scores – French Open

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