Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the French Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Court SIMONNE-MATHIEU. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.44
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.8

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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Denis Shapovalov

This will be the 6^th time that Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Hurkacz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Hurkacz won 7-6(3) 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 in the 3^rd round in at the Australian Open back in 2023.

Highlights Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov – Australian Open 20-January-2023

Hubert Hurkacz

Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Hurkacz got to the 3^rd round after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6 6-3 3-6 6-0 6-3 and Brandon Nakashima 6-7² 6-1 6-3 7-6⁵.

In the 2^nd round against Nakashima, Hurkacz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 6-1 6-3 7-6⁵). During the match, Hurkacz scored 143 points vs Nakashima’s 124. Hurkacz was pretty aggressive to blast 67 winners.

Talking about the service games, Hurkacz recorded 16 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Hubert Hurkacz was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (67/81) of his 1st serve and 53% (26/49) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hurkacz broke Nakashima 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hubert has lost 3 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Hurkacz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (378-223). 13-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Hurkacz has an aggregate 103-63 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Estoril where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Pole has a composed 28-11 win-loss record in 2024, 13-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Denis Shapovalov

Ranked no. 118, the Canadian got to the 3^rd round after beating Luca Van Assche 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Frances Tiafoe 6-7⁴ 6-4 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Tiafoe, Denis recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁴ 6-4 6-2 6-4). During the match Shapovalov scored 152 points vs Tiafoe’s 132. Denis was exceptionally aggressive to blast 62 winners.

About the serving games, Shapovalov buried his opponent with 21 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was quite efficient on serve to win 82% (62/76) of his 1st serve and 52% (32/61) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Denis broke Tiafoe 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shapovalov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Shapovalov has an aggregate 11-13 win-loss record in 2024, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Hurkacz	Shapovalov
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	9	7
Tot Games	85	70
Pts	300-253	242-211
Total Points	553	453
Winners	136	103
%Winners	45%	43%

Both Hurkacz and Shapovalov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hubert Hurkacz conceded 3 sets, while Denis Shapovalov lost 1 set. Hurkacz has played 2 sets more than Shapovalov (9 vs 7). Therefore, Hurkacz played 15 games more than Shapovalov. Hurkacz scored 136 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Denis struck 103 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Hurkacz	Shapovalov
Aces	37	29
Avg per match	18.5	14.5
1st in	174/268	128/229
%1st in	65%	56%
1st pts	136/174	103/128
%1st pts	78%	80%
2nd pts	50/94	56/101
%2nd pts	53%	55%

Hurkacz recorded 37 aces (18.5 per match). Shapovalov fired 29 aces (14.5 per match). Hurkacz won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Hurkacz	Shapovalov
Won	10	8
Converted	10/30	8/20
% Converted	33%	40%
Conceded	17	23
Saved	14	22
% Saved	82%	96%
Times Broken	3	1

Hubert broke his opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Pole dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Shapovalov conceded his serve once and he saved 96% of the break points that he conceded.

Hurkacz
	R1 Mochizuki	R2 Nakashima	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 3-6 6-0 6-3	6-72 6-1 6-3 7-65
Tot Set	5	4	9
Tot Games	43	42	85
pts	157-129	143-124	300-253
Total points	286	267	553
Winners	69	67	136
%Winners	44%	47%	45%
SERVE
Aces	21	16	37
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	93/138	81/130	174/268
% 1st in	67%	62%	65%
1st pts	69/93	67/81	136/174
% 1st pts	74%	83%	78%
2nd pts	24/45	26/49	50/94
% 2nd pts	53%	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	6	4	10
Converted	6/19	4/11	10/30
Converted %	32%	36%	33%
Conceded	9	8	17
Saved	6/9	8/8	14
Saved %	67%	100%	84%
Times Broken	3	0	3

Shapovalov
	R1 Van	R2 Tiafoe	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 6-4	6-74 6-4 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	4	7
Tot Games	29	41	70
pts	90-79	152-132	242-211
Total points	169	284	453
Winners	41	62	103
%Winners	46%	41%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	21	29
Double Faults	5	10	15
1st in	52/92	76/137	128/229
% 1st in	57%	55%	56%
1st pts	41/52	62/76	103/128
% 1st pts	79%	82%	80%
2nd pts	24/40	32/61	56/101
% 2nd pts	60%	52%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	5	8
Converted	3/6	5/14	8/20
Converted %	50%	36%	40%
Conceded	3	20	23
Saved	3/3	19/20	22
Saved %	100%	95%	98%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-1 5-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Henri SquireSquire (6-4 4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-6² 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 7-6⁸ 1-6 0-5) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Gael MonfilsMonfils (7-5 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-6⁷
  ) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Alexander BublikBublik (6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – David GoffinGoffin (7-6⁴ 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-4 6-2 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-5 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-7⁴ 6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-2 7-6² 6-0) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-7² 6-1 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-1 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Maximilian MartererMarterer (3-6 6-3 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-6⁵ 1-6 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-6 3-6 6-4 7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jozef KovalikKovalik – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-4 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Kei NishikoriNishikori (7-6⁷ 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (7-5 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-2 6-1 3-6 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-0 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (1-6 4-6 6-3 7-6⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Pavel KotovKotov – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (7-6⁵ 6-4 1-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-2 6-7² 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Gael MonfilsMonfils (7-5 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 7-6(8) 1-6 0-5) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-6(5) 1-6 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jozef KovalikKovalik – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pavel KotovKotov – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction