Jasmine Paolini and Hailey Baptiste will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on Court 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.14
Hailey Baptiste -> 5.75

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Hailey Baptiste

This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Hailey Baptiste face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Baptiste (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Baptiste won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in Chicago back in 2021.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

17 - 10win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
5-3
Rank
4
High
4
LLWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 40-20 19-10 12-5 1-3 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 15, Jasmine got to the 2nd round after beating Daria Saville 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-3 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 73 points vs Gavrilova’s 60. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 69% of her first serves in, winning 56% (25/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 35% (7/20) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gavrilova 7 times after converting 41% of her break points (7/17).

Paolini has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (302-235). 5-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has an overall 156-100 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

The Italian has an aggregate 17-10 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Paolini's Record

Hailey Baptiste

Hailey Baptiste

27 - 15win/loss

Hard
14-7
I Hard
3-1
Clay
10-7
Rank
93
High
80
LWWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-27 29-16 10-8 3-1 1-2 0-0
2023 41-32 17-15 22-15 2-2 0-0 0-0
2022 23-19 12-11 11-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-21 8-12 7-6 1-2 2-1 0-0
2020 9-10 6-8 3-1 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 107, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Valentini Grammatikopoulou 3-6 6-4 6-3, Sinja Kraus 6-0 4-6 6-3 and Kayla Day 4-6 6-2 6-2.

In the 1st round against Day, Hailey recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Baptiste scored 91 points vs Day’s 74. Baptiste was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Baptiste bagged 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Hailey Baptiste was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (34/44) of her 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Baptiste broke Day 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Hailey’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the W50 Morelia.

Baptiste has a compiled 27-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.

French Open
Baptiste's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Paolini
H.Baptiste
1h:32
1h:32
Time on court​
!
6h:21
6h:21
1h:32
1h:32
Last match​
!
2h:07
2h:07
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
19
19
Games Played​
107
107
2
2
Set played​​
12
12
73
73
Total points​
293
293
73
73
Avg point​
73.3
73.3
25
25
Winners
105
105
25
25
Avg Winners​
26.3
26.3
34%
34%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
21
21
1
1
Avg Aces
5.3
5.3
3
3
Double Faults
12
12
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
25/45
25/45
1st won total​
105/138
105/138
56%
56%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
7/20
7/20
2nd won total​
65/124
65/124
!
35%
35%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
7/17
7/17
BP won
14/33
14/33
7/17
7/17
Avg BP won
3.5/8.3
3.5/8.3
41%
41%
Won
42%
42%
8
8
Conceded
22
22
8
8
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
5
5
Broken
7
7
!
5
5
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
3
3
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Baptiste
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 9
Tot Games 19 79
Pts 73-60 293-236
Total Points 133 529
Winners 25 105
%Winners 34% 36%

Paolini played 1 match while Baptiste competed in 3 matches. Baptiste started her run from the qualifications while Paolini had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hailey Baptiste lost 3 sets while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 7 set(s) less than Baptiste (2 vs 9). Therefore, Paolini played 60 games less than Baptiste. The Italian scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 105 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Baptiste
Aces 1 21
Avg per match 1 7
1st in 45/65 138/262
%1st in 69% 53%
1st pts 25/45 105/138
%1st pts 56% 76%
2nd pts 7/20 65/124
%2nd pts 35% 52%

Paolini managed to score 1 ace . Baptiste also scored 21 aces (7 per match). Paolini won 56% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Baptiste won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Baptiste
Won 7 14
Converted 7/17 14/33
% Converted 41% 42%
Conceded 8 22
Saved 3 15
% Saved 38% 68%
Times Broken 5 7

Jasmine broke her opponent 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Hailey broke her opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Baptiste conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R1
Gavrilova
Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 73-60 73-60
Total points 133 133
Winners 25 25
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 45/65 45/65
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 25/45 25/45
% 1st pts 56% 56%
2nd pts 7/20 7/20
% 2nd pts 35% 35%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/17 7/17
Converted % 41% 41%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 3/8 3
Saved % 38% 38%
Times Broken 5 5
Baptiste
Q1
Grammatikopoulou
Q2
Kraus
Q3
Zidansek
R1
Day
Total
Score 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-0 4-6 6-3 7-5 1-6 6-3 4-6 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 28 25 28 26 107
pts 101-89 101-73 91-74 293-236
Total points 190 174 0 165 529
Winners 34 37 34 105
%Winners 34% 37% 0% 37% 36%
SERVE
Aces 4 13 0 4 21
Double Faults 4 4 4 12
1st in 48/101 46/81 / 44/80 138/262
% 1st in 48% 57% 0% 55% 53%
1st pts 34/48 37/46 / 34/44 105/138
% 1st pts 71% 80% 0% 77% 76%
2nd pts 26/53 20/35 / 19/36 65/124
% 2nd pts 49% 57% 0% 53% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 14
Converted 5/12 4/10 / 5/11 14/33
Converted % 42% 40% 0% 45% 42%
Conceded 10 8 4 22
Saved 6/10 7/8 0/ 2/4 15
Saved % 60% 88% 50% 198%
Times Broken 4 1 2 7

Tennis Scores – French Open

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