Jasmine Paolini and Hailey Baptiste will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on Court 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.14
Hailey Baptiste -> 5.75
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Hailey Baptiste
This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Hailey Baptiste face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Baptiste (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Baptiste won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in Chicago back in 2021.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 12-6 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Jasmine got to the 2nd round after beating Daria Saville 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-3 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 73 points vs Gavrilova’s 60. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 69% of her first serves in, winning 56% (25/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 35% (7/20) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gavrilova 7 times after converting 41% of her break points (7/17).
Paolini has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (302-235). 5-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has an overall 156-100 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
The Italian has an aggregate 17-10 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Hailey Baptiste
27 - 15win/loss
98
96
LWLLWLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-18 | 14-7 | 10-8 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-32 | 17-15 | 22-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 12-11 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 8-12 | 7-6 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-10 | 6-8 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 107, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Valentini Grammatikopoulou 3-6 6-4 6-3, Sinja Kraus 6-0 4-6 6-3 and Kayla Day 4-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Day, Hailey recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Baptiste scored 91 points vs Day’s 74. Baptiste was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Baptiste bagged 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Hailey Baptiste was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (34/44) of her 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Baptiste broke Day 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Hailey’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the W50 Morelia.
Baptiste has a compiled 27-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 79 |
| Pts | 73-60 | 293-236 |
| Total Points | 133 | 529 |
| Winners | 25 | 105 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Paolini played 1 match while Baptiste competed in 3 matches. Baptiste started her run from the qualifications while Paolini had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hailey Baptiste lost 3 sets while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 7 set(s) less than Baptiste (2 vs 9). Therefore, Paolini played 60 games less than Baptiste. The Italian scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 105 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 7 |
| 1st in | 45/65 | 138/262 |
| %1st in | 69% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 25/45 | 105/138 |
| %1st pts | 56% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 7/20 | 65/124 |
| %2nd pts | 35% | 52% |
Paolini managed to score 1 ace . Baptiste also scored 21 aces (7 per match). Paolini won 56% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Baptiste won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 14 |
| Converted | 7/17 | 14/33 |
| % Converted | 41% | 42% |
| Conceded | 8 | 22 |
| Saved | 3 | 15 |
| % Saved | 38% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
Jasmine broke her opponent 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Hailey broke her opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Baptiste conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R1 Gavrilova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 73-60 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/65 | 45/65 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 25/45 | 25/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/20 | 7/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 35% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Baptiste | ||||||
| Q1 Grammatikopoulou |
Q2 Kraus |
Q3 Zidansek |
R1 Day |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | 7-5 1-6 6-3 | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 107 | |
| pts | 101-89 | 101-73 | – | 91-74 | 293-236 | |
| Total points | 190 | 174 | 0 | 165 | 529 | |
| Winners | 34 | 37 | 34 | 105 | ||
| %Winners | 34% | 37% | 0% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | ||
| 1st in | 48/101 | 46/81 | / | 44/80 | 138/262 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 57% | 0% | 55% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 37/46 | / | 34/44 | 105/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 80% | 0% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/53 | 20/35 | / | 19/36 | 65/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 57% | 0% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | ||
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/10 | / | 5/11 | 14/33 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 40% | 0% | 45% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 | 4 | 22 | ||
| Saved | 6/10 | 7/8 | 0/ | 2/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 88% | – | 50% | 198% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWW
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