Madison Keys and Liudmila Samsonova will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Internationaux de Strasbourg for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on Court Patrice Dominguez. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.6
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 5th time that Madison Keys and Liudmila Samsonova face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Keys won 6-2 6-3 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in April 2024.
Highlights Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova – Madrid 27-April-2024
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Keys got to the semifinal after beating Xinyu Wang 7-5 6-0 and Magda Linette 6-1 6-3.
In the quarter, Keys had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-1 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 57 points vs Linette’s 39. Keys was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys bagged 2 aces and she was very steady in conceding no double faults. Madison Keys was very effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of her 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Madison broke Linette 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (246-134). 9-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an aggregate 63-34 match record in the last years on clay.
Madison’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Madrid.
The American has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Strasbourg
Liudmila Samsonova
8 - 12win/loss
25
12
LLLLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Barbora Krejcikova 6-2 6-75 6-4, Leylah Annie Fernandez 4-6 6-4 6-2 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-0.
In the quarter, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (6-3 6-0). During the match Samsonova scored 59 points vs Haddad Maia’s 42. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova scored 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 56% of her first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Samsonova broke Haddad Maia 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ludmilla has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi.
The Russian has an overall 8-11 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 74 |
| Pts | 124-88 | 277-228 |
| Total Points | 212 | 505 |
| Winners | 61 | 93 |
| %Winners | 49% | 34% |
Keys played 2 matches while Samsonova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova lost 2 sets while Madison Keys hasn’t dropped a set so far. Keys has played 4 set(s) less than Samsonova (4 vs 8). Therefore, Keys played 40 games less than Samsonova. Keys scored 61 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla scored 93 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 78/110 | 130/252 |
| %1st in | 71% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 61/78 | 93/130 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 65/122 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 53% |
Keys made 4 aces (2 per match). Samsonova fired 15 aces (5 per match). Keys won 78% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 16 |
| Converted | 9/17 | 16/31 |
| % Converted | 53% | 52% |
| Conceded | 7 | 21 |
| Saved | 6 | 15 |
| % Saved | 86% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
The American broke her opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Keys lost her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | ||||
| R2 Wang |
1/4 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-0 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 | 34 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 57-39 | 124-88 | |
| Total points | 116 | 96 | 212 | |
| Winners | 33 | 28 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 37/46 | 78/110 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 80% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 28/37 | 61/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/23 | 5/9 | 13/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 56% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/8 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 1/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Samsonova | |||||
| R1 Krejcikova |
R2 Annie |
1/4 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-75 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 28 | 15 | 74 | |
| pts | 120-99 | 98-87 | 59-42 | 277-228 | |
| Total points | 219 | 185 | 101 | 505 | |
| Winners | 31 | 37 | 25 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 38% | 42% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 6 | 2 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 40/96 | 58/99 | 32/57 | 130/252 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 59% | 56% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 37/58 | 25/32 | 93/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 64% | 78% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/56 | 23/41 | 12/25 | 65/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 56% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/9 | 5/7 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 56% | 71% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 5 | 21 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 8/11 | 5/5 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 73% | 100% | 107% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLW
LLLLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Strasbourg
- Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras (7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
