Mikhail Kukushkin and Francesco Maestrelli will fight against each other in the qualifications of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikhail Kukushkin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mikhail Kukushkin is the pick to win this match.
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 1.77
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.01
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Prediction and head to head Mikhail Kukushkin vs. Francesco Maestrelli
This will be the 2nd time that Mikhail Kukushkin and Francesco Maestrelli square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kukushkin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kukushkin won 6-2 2-6 6-2 in the 1st round in the Mallorca Challenger back in 2022.
Mikhail Kukushkin
29 - 12win/loss
132
39
LWWLLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-17 | 14-3 | 9-6 | 7-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-24 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 18-11 | 0-2 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-24 | 8-9 | 0-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 135, the Kazakhstani reached the qualifications after defeating Leandro Riedi 6-4 6-3 and Li Tu 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mikhail had a good straight sets win against Tu (6-4 6-2). During the match, Kukushkin scored 61 points vs Tu’s 45. Kukushkin was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kukushkin scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Mikhail Kukushkin lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kukushkin put 68% of his first serves in, winning 79% (27/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Kukushkin broke Tu 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kukushkin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Kukushkin has good match record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (269-238). 8-5 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kukushkin has an aggregate 48-58 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Manama Challenger where he beat Richard Gasquet in the final 7-6(5) 6-4 and the Tenerife 3 Challenger where he defeated Matteo Gigante in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
Mikhail has a composed 29-12 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Francesco Maestrelli
18 - 16win/loss
256
149
LLLLWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-21 | 5-5 | 14-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 206, Maestrelli got to the qualifications after beating Marc-Andrea Huesler 6-72 6-2 6-4 and Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-1 ret..
In the qualifications against Zapata Miralles, Francesco had a free pass after Zapata Miralles retired on a 6-1 . scoreline.
Maestrelli’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 2 Challenger and the Szekesfehervar Challenger.
Maestrelli has an overall 18-16 win-loss record in 2024, 13-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kukushkin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 38 |
| Pts | 131-98 | 132-103 |
| Total Points | 229 | 235 |
| Winners | 53 | 51 |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% |
Both Kukushkin and Maestrelli played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Francesco Maestrelli conceded 1 set while Mikhail Kukushkin hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kukushkin has played 1 set(s) less than Maestrelli (4 vs 5). Therefore, Kukushkin played 1 game less than Maestrelli. The Kazakhstani scored 53 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli managed to score 51 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kukushkin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 70/99 | 67/114 |
| %1st in | 71% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 53/70 | 51/67 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 25/47 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 53% |
Kukushkin struck 2 aces (1 per match). Maestrelli made 8 aces (4 per match). Kukushkin won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kukushkin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Saved | 1 | 6 |
| % Saved | 33% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Mikhail broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kukushkin | ||||
| Q1 Riedi |
Q2 Tu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 37 | |
| pts | 70-53 | 61-45 | 131-98 | |
| Total points | 123 | 106 | 229 | |
| Winners | 26 | 27 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/49 | 34/50 | 70/99 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 68% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 27/34 | 53/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 7/16 | 16/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 44% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/7 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Maestrelli | ||||
| Q1 Huesler |
Q2 Zapata Miralles |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 7 | 38 | |
| pts | 104-88 | 28-15 | 132-103 | |
| Total points | 192 | 43 | 235 | |
| Winners | 39 | 12 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 52/94 | 15/20 | 67/114 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 75% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 12/15 | 51/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/42 | 3/5 | 25/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 60% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/6 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWLWW
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