Casper Ruud and Sebastian Baez will play each other in the quarter of the Gonet Geneva Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.49
Sebastian Baez -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 3rd time that Casper Ruud and Sebastian Baez square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Ruud won 6-3 1-6 6-3 in the 1st round in Hamburg back in 2023.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Baez – Hamburg 26-July-2023
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-10 | 17-5 | 21-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Norwegian got to the quarter after defeating Sebastian Ofner 4-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Ofner, Casper recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Ruud scored 82 points vs Ofner’s 69. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Casper Ruud lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Ruud put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (19/28) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Ofner 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (385-202). 14-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has a compiled 226-99 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 7-5 6-3.
The Norwegian has a composed 32-9 win-loss record in 2024, 14-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Geneva
Sebastian Baez
22 - 12win/loss
19
19
LWLWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-13 | 3-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Sebastian got to the quarter after defeating Sumit Nagal 7-67 6-3 and Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-3 6-0). During the match Baez scored 61 points vs Carballes Baena’s 40. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Baez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sebastian Baez conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 81% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Carballes Baena 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1 and in Santiago where he overcame Alejandro Tabilo in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4.
Baez has an overall 22-11 win-loss record in 2024, 19-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Geneva
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 37 |
| Pts | 82-69 | 130-101 |
| Total Points | 151 | 231 |
| Winners | 29 | 69 |
| %Winners | 35% | 53% |
Ruud played 1 match while Baez competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Casper Ruud dropped 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Baez (3 vs 4). Therefore, Ruud played 11 games less than Baez. Ruud scored 29 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian recorded 69 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 97/123 |
| %1st in | 60% | 79% |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 69/97 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 19/28 | 16/26 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 62% |
Ruud managed to score 4 aces . Baez managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Ruud won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 7/12 |
| % Converted | 42% | 58% |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Ruud broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||
| R2 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 82-69 | 82-69 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 42/70 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 29/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/28 | 19/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Nagal |
R2 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-3 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 37 | |
| pts | 69-61 | 61-40 | 130-101 | |
| Total points | 130 | 101 | 231 | |
| Winners | 40 | 29 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 48% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 55/71 | 42/52 | 97/123 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 81% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 40/55 | 29/42 | 69/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 6/10 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 60% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/9 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 56% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Sebastian BaezBaez – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
