Lorenzo Musetti and Francesco Passaro will clash against each other in the final of the Turin Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.31
Francesco Passaro -> 3.25
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Francesco Passaro
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Francesco Passaro face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Musetti won 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the final in the Forli 6 Challenger back in 2022.
Lorenzo Musetti
15 - 16win/loss
17
15
LLLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, the Italian reached the final after beating David Goffin 6-4 6-3, Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-1 6-3 and Luciano Darderi 7-5 7-68.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Darderi (7-5 7-68). During the match, Musetti scored 88 points vs Darderi’s 75. Musetti was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was very effective on serve to win 78% (38/49) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Musetti broke Darderi twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (189-146). 8-6 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has an overall109-62 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Lorenzo’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Cagliari Challenger.
The Italian has a composed 15-15 win-loss record in 2024, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Musetti has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Passaro
21 - 14win/loss
108
107
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 240, the Italian got to the final after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-2 6-76 6-2, Emil Ruusuvuori 7-5 7-64, Brandon Nakashima 7-62 6-77 6-1 and Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Sonego (6-3 6-2). During the match Passaro scored 58 points vs Sonego’s 35. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Passaro bagged 2 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Francesco Passaro was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Sonego 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Naples Challenger and the Turin Challenger.
The Italian has a composed 20-14 win-loss record in 2024, 17-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 104 |
| Pts | 217-169 | 361-307 |
| Total Points | 386 | 668 |
| Winners | 97 | 167 |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% |
Musetti played 3 matches while Passaro competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Francesco Passaro conceded 2 sets while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t conceded a set so far. Musetti has played 4 set(s) less than Passaro (6 vs 10). Therefore, Musetti played 44 games less than Passaro. Lorenzo scored 97 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 167 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 125/190 | 214/346 |
| %1st in | 66% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 97/125 | 167/214 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 33/65 | 74/132 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 56% |
Musetti managed to score 11 aces (3.7 per match). Passaro blasted 18 aces (4.5 per match). Musetti won 78% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Passaro won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 13 |
| Converted | 10/24 | 13/28 |
| % Converted | 42% | 46% |
| Conceded | 11 | 17 |
| Saved | 8 | 14 |
| % Saved | 73% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Lorenzo broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Lorenzo surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Passaro broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Passaro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||||
| R2 Goffin |
1/4 Meligeni |
1/2 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 25 | 60 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 60-39 | 88-75 | 217-169 | |
| Total points | 124 | 99 | 163 | 386 | |
| Winners | 31 | 28 | 38 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 44/69 | 32/49 | 49/72 | 125/190 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 28/32 | 38/49 | 97/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 88% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 7/17 | 14/23 | 33/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 41% | 61% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 2/10 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 20% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 0% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Passaro | ||||||
| R1 Elahi Galan Riveros |
R2 Ruusuvuori |
1/4 Nakashima |
1/2 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-76 6-2 | 7-5 7-64 | 7-62 6-77 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 25 | 33 | 17 | 104 | |
| pts | 111-94 | 83-78 | 109-100 | 58-35 | 361-307 | |
| Total points | 205 | 161 | 209 | 93 | 668 | |
| Winners | 45 | 40 | 51 | 31 | 167 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% | 47% | 53% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 63/101 | 52/88 | 63/108 | 36/49 | 214/346 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 59% | 58% | 73% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 40/52 | 51/63 | 31/36 | 167/214 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 81% | 86% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/38 | 20/36 | 24/45 | 7/13 | 74/132 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 56% | 53% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 2/7 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 13/28 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 29% | 67% | 75% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 6/7 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 86% | 60% | 100% | 115% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Francesco PassaroPassaro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
