Adam Walton and Illya Marchenko will play each other in the final of the Taipei Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adam Walton who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Adam Walton is the pick to win this match.
Adam Walton -> 1.44
Illya Marchenko -> 2.66

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Prediction and head to head Adam Walton vs. Illya Marchenko

This will be the 2^nd time that Adam Walton and Illya Marchenko play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Marchenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Marchenko won 6-4 6-1 in the quarter in the Hamburg Challenger back in 2023.

Adam Walton

Ranked no. 111 (career-high), the Australian reached the final after beating Yuta Shimizu 7-6⁵ 6-0, Ji Sung Nam 6-0 6-3, Ricardas Berankis 6-3 7-6⁷ and James Duckworth 3-6 7-6⁴ 6-2.

In the semifinal against Duckworth, Adam recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁴ 6-2). During the match, Walton scored 93 points vs Duckworth’s 85. Adam was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Walton scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Adam Walton was very efficient on serve to win 83% (40/48) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Adam broke Duckworth twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Adam has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Walton has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (143-66). 35-14 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Walton has a compiled138-56 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Burnie 2 Challenger where he overcame Dane Sweeny in the final 6-2 7-6(4).

Walton has an overall 35-15 win-loss record in 2024, 35-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Taipei Challenger

Walton has never competed in this tournament before.

Illya Marchenko

Ranked no. 242, Illya reached the final after beating Hiroki Moriya 6-3 7-6⁴, Evgeny Donskoy 3-6 6-3 6-4, Max Purcell 6-4 6-3 and Yu Hsiou Hsu 0-6 7-6³ 6-3.

In the semifinal against Hsiou Hsu, Marchenko recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 7-6³

6-3).During the match Marchenko scored less points (4) than Hsiou Hsu. In fact, the world no. 111 won 93 points vs Hsiou Hsu’s. That means that Marchenko was more focused during the important points. Marchenko was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Marchenko blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Illya Marchenko lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Marchenko put 52% of his first serves in, winning 75% (40/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (24/48) on the 2nd serve. Illya broke Hsiou Hsu once after converting 9% of his break points (1/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marchenko has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Ukrainian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Taipei Challenger.

Marchenko has a composed 8-12 win-loss record in 2024, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Walton	Marchenko
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	86	97
Pts	313-237	321-286
Total Points	550	607
Winners	137	133
%Winners	44%	41%

Both Walton and Marchenko played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Adam Walton dropped 1 set, while Illya Marchenko lost 2 sets. Walton has played 1 set(s) less than Marchenko (9 vs 10). Therefore, Walton played 11 games less than Marchenko. The Australian scored 137 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Marchenko made 133 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Walton	Marchenko
Aces	15	28
Avg per match	3.8	7
1st in	173/259	176/302
%1st in	67%	58%
1st pts	137/173	133/176
%1st pts	79%	76%
2nd pts	51/86	74/126
%2nd pts	59%	59%

Walton scored 15 aces (3.8 per match). Marchenko scored 28 aces (7 per match). Walton won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Marchenko won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Walton	Marchenko
Won	12	9
Converted	12/31	9/33
% Converted	39%	27%
Conceded	9	22
Saved	6	16
% Saved	67%	73%
Times Broken	3	6

Adam broke his opponents 12 times with a 39% conversion rate. Walton dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Marchenko broke his opponents 9 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Walton
	R1 Shimizu	R2 Sung Nam	1/4 Berankis	1/2 Duckworth	Total
Score	7-65 6-0	6-0 6-3	6-3 7-67	3-6 7-64 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	19	15	22	30	86
pts	76-53	66-38	78-61	93-85	313-237
Total points	129	104	139	178	550
Winners	28	28	41	40	137
%Winners	37%	42%	53%	43%	44%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	5	6	15
Double Faults	1	1	0	1	3
1st in	39/60	33/51	53/72	48/76	173/259
% 1st in	65%	65%	74%	63%	67%
1st pts	28/39	28/33	41/53	40/48	137/173
% 1st pts	72%	85%	77%	83%	79%
2nd pts	13/21	9/18	12/19	17/28	51/86
% 2nd pts	62%	50%	63%	61%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	4	2	2	12
Converted	4/10	4/9	2/6	2/6	12/31
Converted %	40%	44%	33%	33%	39%
Conceded	3	1	4	1	9
Saved	2/3	1/1	3/4	0/1	6
Saved %	67%	100%	75%	0%	61%
Times Broken	1	0	1	1	3

Marchenko
	R1 Moriya	R2 Donskoy	1/4 Purcell	1/2 Hsiou	Total
Score	6-3 7-64	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-4 6-3	0-6 7-63 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	22	28	19	28	97
pts	77-63	91-78	60-48	93-97	321-286
Total points	140	169	108	190	607
Winners	25	38	30	40	133
%Winners	32%	42%	50%	43%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	9	10	5	28
Double Faults	1	0	1	2	4
1st in	42/75	48/75	33/51	53/101	176/302
% 1st in	56%	64%	65%	52%	58%
1st pts	25/42	38/48	30/33	40/53	133/176
% 1st pts	60%	79%	91%	75%	76%
2nd pts	23/33	17/27	10/18	24/48	74/126
% 2nd pts	70%	63%	56%	50%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	2	2	1	9
Converted	4/6	2/7	2/9	1/11	9/33
Converted %	67%	29%	22%	9%	27%
Conceded	8	3	0	11	22
Saved	6/8	2/3	0/0	8/11	16
Saved %	75%	67%	–	73%	54%
Times Broken	2	1	0	3	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Adam WaltonWalton (1-0) – H2H and prediction