H2H, prediction of Tommy Paul vs Nicolas Jarry in Rome with odds, preview, pick | 17th May 2024

PREVIEW. Rome. Paul and Jarry will square off in the semifinal of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 17th of May

Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Nicolas Jarry

Tommy Paul and Nicolas Jarry will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.84
Tommy Paul -> 1.97

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Nicolas Jarry

This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Nicolas Jarry clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Paul (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Jarry won 3-6 6-1 6-4 7-5 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in 2023.

Highlights Nicolas Jarry vs Tommy Paul – French Open 01-June-2023

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

19 - 8win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
4-0
Clay
5-2
Rank
12
High
12
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-19 17-11 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 16, Paul got to the semifinal after beating Aslan Karatsev 6-4 6-2, Dominik Koepfer 6-4 6-3, Daniil Medvedev 6-1 6-4 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-5 3-6 6-3.

In the quarter, Tommy defeated Hurkacz (7-5 3-6 6-3). During the match, Paul scored 111 points vs Hurkacz’s 103. Paul was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul struck 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve 6 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 69% of his first serves in, winning 54% (44/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the 2nd serve. Tommy broke Hurkacz 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (369-212). 5-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paul has an overall 105-56 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Dallas where he overcame Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3.

Tommy has an aggregate 19-7 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Paul
Rome
Paul's Record

Nicolas Jarry

Nicolas Jarry
Nicolas Jarry

16 - 11win/loss

Hard
7-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-6
Rank
36
High
16
LWLLWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 19-24 8-11 9-9 2-3 0-1 0-0
2023 43-21 14-7 21-8 4-3 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 8-5 30-16 0-2 0-0 0-0
2021 45-22 13-4 32-17 0-1 0-0 0-0
2020 1-7 1-6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Jarry got to the semifinal after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 7-66, Stefano Napolitano 6-2 4-6 6-4, Alexandre Muller 7-5 6-3 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 3-6 7-5 6-4.

In the quarter against Tsitsipas, Nicolas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Jarry scored 105 points vs Tsitsipas’s 101. Jarry was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Jarry scored 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Jarry lost the serve twice and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Jarry put 66% of his first serves in, winning 69% (47/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (21/35) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Tsitsipas 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nicolas has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Jarry’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Buenos Aires.

Jarry has an overall 15-11 win-loss record in 2024, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018 and 2023. See his history.

Jarry
Rome
Jarry's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Paul
N.Jarry
7h:07
7h:07
Time on court​
8h:39
8h:39
!
2h:43
2h:43
Last match​
!
2h:38
2h:38
4
4
Match played
4
4
84
84
Games Played​
101
101
9
9
Set played​​
10
10
313
313
Total points​
348
348
78.3
78.3
Avg point​
87
87
122
122
Winners
153
153
30.5
30.5
Avg Winners​
38.3
38.3
39%
39%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
36
36
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
9
9
10
10
Double Faults
8
8
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
122/196
122/196
1st won total​
153/203
153/203
62%
62%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
61/99
61/99
2nd won total​
63/116
63/116
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
19/39
19/39
BP won
13/36
13/36
4.8/9.8
4.8/9.8
Avg BP won
3.3/9
3.3/9
49%
49%
Won
36%
36%
39
39
Conceded
28
28
9.8
9.8
Avg Conceded
7
7
10
10
Broken
6
6
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
29
29
Saved
22
22

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paul Jarry
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 10
Tot Games 84 101
Pts 313-255 348-304
Total Points 568 652
Winners 122 153
%Winners 39% 44%

Both Paul and Jarry played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul dropped 1 set, while Nicolas Jarry dropped 2 sets. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Jarry (9 vs 10). Therefore, Paul played 17 games less than Jarry. Tommy scored 122 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jarry blasted 153 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paul Jarry
Aces 10 36
Avg per match 2.5 9
1st in 196/295 203/319
%1st in 66% 64%
1st pts 122/196 153/203
%1st pts 62% 75%
2nd pts 61/99 63/116
%2nd pts 62% 54%

Paul fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Jarry struck 36 aces (9 per match). Paul won 62% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paul Jarry
Won 19 13
Converted 19/39 13/36
% Converted 49% 36%
Conceded 39 28
Saved 29 22
% Saved 74% 79%
Times Broken 10 6

Tommy broke his opponents 19 times with a 49% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 13 times with a 36% conversion rate. Jarry conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
R2
Karatsev
R3
Koepfer
R4
Medvedev
1/4
Hurkacz
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-1 6-4 7-5 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 18 19 17 30 84
pts 67-55 77-55 58-42 111-103 313-255
Total points 122 132 100 214 568
Winners 29 26 23 44 122
%Winners 43% 34% 40% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 2 3 10
Double Faults 2 3 0 5 10
1st in 43/67 33/53 39/58 81/117 196/295
% 1st in 64% 62% 67% 69% 66%
1st pts 29/43 26/33 23/39 44/81 122/196
% 1st pts 67% 79% 59% 54% 62%
2nd pts 16/24 11/20 14/19 20/36 61/99
% 2nd pts 67% 55% 74% 56% 62%
Breaks
Won 3 4 5 7 19
Converted 3/4 4/16 5/6 7/13 19/39
Converted % 75% 25% 83% 54% 49%
Conceded 9 7 5 18 39
Saved 9/9 5/7 3/5 12/18 29
Saved % 100% 71% 60% 67% 75%
Times Broken 0 2 2 6 10
Jarry
R2
Arnaldi
R3
Napolitano
R4
Muller
1/4
Tsitsipas
Total
Score 6-2 7-66 6-2 4-6 6-4 7-5 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 3 10
Tot Games 21 28 21 31 101
pts 82-65 86-79 75-59 105-101 348-304
Total points 147 165 134 206 652
Winners 34 39 33 47 153
%Winners 41% 45% 44% 45% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 15 8 36
Double Faults 2 3 1 2 8
1st in 43/72 51/84 41/60 68/103 203/319
% 1st in 60% 61% 68% 66% 64%
1st pts 34/43 39/51 33/41 47/68 153/203
% 1st pts 79% 76% 80% 69% 75%
2nd pts 16/29 16/33 10/19 21/35 63/116
% 2nd pts 55% 48% 53% 60% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 4 3 3 13
Converted 3/10 4/8 3/9 3/9 13/36
Converted % 30% 50% 33% 33% 36%
Conceded 5 7 3 13 28
Saved 4/5 5/7 2/3 11/13 22
Saved % 80% 71% 67% 85% 76%
Times Broken 1 2 1 2 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Paul
LLWWWWLWWL
Jarry
LWLLWLLLWL
2024 2023 2022
45 - 19
18 - 23
17-11
Hard
7-10
8-2
I Hard
2-3
10-4
Clay
9-9
10-2
Grass
0-1

Tennis Scores in Rome

  • Tommy PaulPaulHubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-5 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosSander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
  • Nicolas JarryJarryStefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
  • Alejandro TabiloTabiloZhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Alexander Bublik/Ben SheltonBublik/Ben SheltonFrancisco Cerundolo/Tomas Martin EtcheverryCerundolo/Tomas Martin Etcheverry (1-6 6-4 10-5) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevTaylor FritzFritz (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate PavicRajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw