Yu Hsiou Hsu and Illya Marchenko will square off in the semifinal of the Taipei Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yu Hsiou Hsu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yu Hsiou Hsu is the pick to win this match.
Yu Hsiou Hsu -> 1.41
Illya Marchenko -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Yu Hsiou Hsu vs. Illya Marchenko
There is no head to head record between Yu Hsiou Hsu and Illya Marchenko since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-17 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-21 | 30-15 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-24 | 47-18 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 49-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 235, the Chinese reached the semifinal after defeating Yasutaka Uchiyama 7-65 6-3, Rio Noguchi 6-1 6-4 and Seong Chan Hong 6-4 4-6 6-1.
In the quarter, Hsiou Hsu defeated Chan Hong (6-4 4-6 6-1). During the match, Hsiou Hsu scored 84 points vs Chan Hong’s 70. Hsiou Hsu was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Hsiou Hsu recorded 3 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Yu Hsiou Hsu lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Hsiou Hsu put 76% of his first serves in, winning 64% (43/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Chan Hong 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Hsiou Hsu has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (243-138). 16-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Hsiou Hsu has an overall211-104 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Chinese’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Kashiwa.
Yu has an overall 18-12 win-loss record in 2024, 16-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Taipei Challenger
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-15 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 242, the Ukrainian reached the semifinal after defeating Hiroki Moriya 6-3 7-64, Evgeny Donskoy 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Max Purcell 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Purcell (6-4 6-3). During the match Marchenko scored 60 points vs Purcell’s 48. Marchenko was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Marchenko recorded 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Illya Marchenko was extremely efficient on serve to win 91% (30/33) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Illya broke Purcell twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marchenko has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 7-12 win-loss record in 2024, 5-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hsiou Hsu | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 69 |
| Pts | 227-183 | 228-189 |
| Total Points | 410 | 417 |
| Winners | 103 | 93 |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% |
Both Hsiou Hsu and Marchenko played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Yu Hsiou Hsu lost 1 set, while Illya Marchenko surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Hsiou Hsu and Marchenko have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Hsiou Hsu played 3 games less than Marchenko. Yu scored 103 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Marchenko blasted 93 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hsiou Hsu | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 153/209 | 123/201 |
| %1st in | 73% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 103/153 | 93/123 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 32/56 | 50/78 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 64% |
Hsiou Hsu made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Marchenko struck 23 aces (7.7 per match). Hsiou Hsu won 67% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Marchenko won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hsiou Hsu | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 8 |
| Converted | 13/27 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 48% | 36% |
| Conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
The Chinese broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Marchenko broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Illya conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hsiou Hsu | |||||
| R1 Uchiyama |
R2 Noguchi |
1/4 Chan Hong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 27 | 66 | |
| pts | 78-69 | 65-44 | 84-70 | 227-183 | |
| Total points | 147 | 109 | 154 | 410 | |
| Winners | 33 | 27 | 43 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | 51% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/69 | 39/52 | 67/88 | 153/209 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 75% | 76% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 27/39 | 43/67 | 103/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 64% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 6/13 | 12/21 | 32/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 46% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 5/11 | 5/7 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 45% | 71% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/2 | 4/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 57% | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Marchenko | |||||
| R1 Moriya |
R2 Donskoy |
1/4 Purcell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 28 | 19 | 69 | |
| pts | 77-63 | 91-78 | 60-48 | 228-189 | |
| Total points | 140 | 169 | 108 | 417 | |
| Winners | 25 | 38 | 30 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 42% | 50% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 10 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/75 | 48/75 | 33/51 | 123/201 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 64% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 25/42 | 38/48 | 30/33 | 93/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 79% | 91% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/33 | 17/27 | 10/18 | 50/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 63% | 56% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/7 | 2/9 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 29% | 22% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | – | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLLWWWWLLL Tennis Scores in Taipei Challenger
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Arthur FeryFery (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Max PurcellPurcell (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Yuta Shimizu/James Kent TrotterShimizu/James Kent Trotter – Calum Puttergill/Reese StalderPuttergill/Reese Stalder (7-65 5-7 10-7) – See score progression
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Seong Chan HongChan Hong (6-4 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-1) – H2H and prediction
