Denis Yevseyev and Elias Ymer will square off in the semifinal of the Oeiras 4 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.49
Denis Yevseyev -> 2.46
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Prediction and head to head Denis Yevseyev vs. Elias Ymer
This will be the 2nd time that Denis Yevseyev and Elias Ymer face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Ymer won 6-4 6-7(7) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Maia Challenger back in 2023.
Denis Yevseyev
20 - 13win/loss
220
153
LWLLLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-33 | 14-14 | 10-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-14 | 10-9 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 177, the Kazakhstani got to the semifinal after beating Lukas Neumayer 3-6 7-5 6-0, Emilio Nava 7-68 6-0 and Beibit Zhukayev 6-4 2-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Denis defeated Zhukayev (6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match, Yevseyev scored 87 points vs Zhukayev’s 84. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Yevseyev scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 65% of his first serves in, winning 60% (34/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Zhukayev 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yevseyev has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Yevseyev has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (343-258). 7-5 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Yevseyev has a composed 117-87 match record in the last years on clay.
Yevseyev’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
Yevseyev has a composed 20-13 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 4 Challenger
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-28 | 4-12 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 200, Elias got to the semifinal after beating Ethan Quinn 6-3 6-4, Lloyd Harris 7-5 6-3 and Jan Choinski 6-2 1-6 6-4.
In the quarter, The Swede defeated Choinski (6-2 1-6 6-4).During the match Ymer scored less points (4) than Choinski. In fact, the world no. 177 won 82 points vs Choinski’s. That means that Ymer was more focused during the important points. The Swede was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Ymer recorded 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 62% of his first serves in, winning 62% (37/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. The Swede broke Choinski 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ymer has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Ymer has a composed 7-14 win-loss record in 2024, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 4 Challenger
The Swede has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yevseyev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 65 |
| Pts | 264-234 | 222-198 |
| Total Points | 498 | 420 |
| Winners | 83 | 91 |
| %Winners | 31% | 41% |
Both Yevseyev and Ymer played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Yevseyev lost 2 sets, while Elias Ymer conceded 1 set. Yevseyev has played 1 set more than Ymer (8 vs 7). Therefore, Yevseyev played 8 games more than Ymer. Yevseyev scored 83 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Swede recorded 91 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yevseyev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 150/251 | 133/227 |
| %1st in | 60% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 83/150 | 91/133 |
| %1st pts | 55% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 52/101 | 47/94 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 50% |
Yevseyev bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Ymer blasted 9 aces (3 per match). Yevseyev won 55% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yevseyev | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 11 |
| Converted | 19/37 | 11/18 |
| % Converted | 51% | 61% |
| Conceded | 27 | 17 |
| Saved | 14 | 10 |
| % Saved | 52% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 13 | 7 |
The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 19 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani surrendered his serve 13 times and he saved 52% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.
| Yevseyev | |||||
| R1 Neumayer |
R2 Nava |
1/4 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-0 | 7-68 6-0 | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 27 | 73 | |
| pts | 95-84 | 82-66 | 87-84 | 264-234 | |
| Total points | 179 | 148 | 171 | 498 | |
| Winners | 28 | 21 | 34 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 26% | 39% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 57/90 | 36/73 | 57/88 | 150/251 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 49% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/57 | 21/36 | 34/57 | 83/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 49% | 58% | 60% | 55% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 20/37 | 15/31 | 52/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 54% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 9/17 | 5/9 | 5/11 | 19/37 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 56% | 45% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 | 9 | 27 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 3/5 | 4/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 60% | 44% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 | 5 | 13 | |
| Ymer | |||||
| R1 Quinn |
R2 Lloyd |
1/4 Choinski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 25 | 65 | |
| pts | 74-59 | 66-53 | 82-86 | 222-198 | |
| Total points | 133 | 119 | 168 | 420 | |
| Winners | 29 | 25 | 37 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 32/59 | 60/97 | 133/227 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 54% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 25/32 | 37/60 | 91/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 78% | 62% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 13/27 | 17/37 | 47/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 48% | 46% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/7 | 11/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 57% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/2 | 4/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 0% | 50% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLLWLW
LLLWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Oeiras 4 Challenger
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Joris De LooreDe Loore (6-3 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Dennis NovakNovak (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-2 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Dennis NovakNovak (2-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Joris De LooreDe Loore (6-3 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-2 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Elias YmerYmer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
