Jan Choinski and Elias Ymer will square off in the quarter of the Oeiras 4 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.86
Jan Choinski -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Jan Choinski vs. Elias Ymer
There is no head to head record between Jan Choinski and Elias Ymer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jan Choinski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 181, the German reached the quarter after defeating Zachary Svajda 6-3 6-0 and Tristan Boyer 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Jan had a good straight sets win against Boyer (6-4 7-5). During the match, Choinski scored 78 points vs Boyer’s 70. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Choinski scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 68% of his first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Boyer 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Choinski has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (323-218). 7-5 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Choinski has a compiled 177-103 record in the last years on clay.
The German has an aggregate 11-14 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 4 Challenger
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-31 | 6-14 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 200, the Swede got to the quarter after beating Ethan Quinn 6-3 6-4 and Lloyd Harris 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Swede had a good straight sets win against Lloyd (7-5 6-3). During the match Ymer scored 66 points vs Lloyd’s 53. Ymer was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Ymer scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Ymer put 54% of his first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. The Swede broke Lloyd 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elias hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Elias has an overall 6-14 win-loss record in 2024, 4-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 4 Challenger
The Swede has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Choinski | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 40 |
| Pts | 139-102 | 140-112 |
| Total Points | 241 | 252 |
| Winners | 62 | 54 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Both Choinski and Ymer played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Choinski and Ymer have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Choinski played 3 games less than Ymer. Choinski scored 62 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Elias recorded 54 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Choinski | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 86/117 | 73/130 |
| %1st in | 74% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 62/86 | 54/73 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 30/57 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 53% |
Choinski recorded 4 aces (2 per match). Ymer scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Choinski won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Choinski | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/15 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 60% | 64% |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Saved | 6 | 6 |
| % Saved | 75% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Choinski broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Choinski | ||||
| R1 Svajda |
R2 Boyer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 37 | |
| pts | 61-32 | 78-70 | 139-102 | |
| Total points | 93 | 148 | 241 | |
| Winners | 26 | 36 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 29/33 | 57/84 | 86/117 | |
| % 1st in | 88% | 68% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 36/57 | 62/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 63% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 2/4 | 14/27 | 16/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/7 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 57% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Ymer | ||||
| R1 Quinn |
R2 Lloyd |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 74-59 | 66-53 | 140-112 | |
| Total points | 133 | 119 | 252 | |
| Winners | 29 | 25 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 32/59 | 73/130 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 25/32 | 54/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 78% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 13/27 | 30/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/6 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 0% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLWWLL
LWLWWLWLLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Dennis NovakNovak – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
