Hubert Hurkacz and Sebastian Baez will face off in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on PIETRANGELI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.56
Sebastian Baez -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Sebastian Baez
There is no head to head record between Hubert Hurkacz and Sebastian Baez since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Hubert Hurkacz
26 - 10win/loss
16
6
LLWLWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-13 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Hurkacz reached the 4th round after defeating Rafael Nadal 6-1 6-3 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-67 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Hubert had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (7-67 6-2). During the match, Hurkacz scored 77 points vs Etcheverry’s 66. The Pole was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Hurkacz blasted 11 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Hubert Hurkacz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Pole was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Etcheverry twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Hurkacz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (375-222). 10-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Hurkacz has an aggregate 100-62 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Estoril where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Hurkacz has a composed 25-10 win-loss record in 2024, 10-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Sebastian Baez
20 - 11win/loss
27
18
LLLLLLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Sebastian got to the 4th round after defeating Dusan Lajovic 7-63 7-66 and Holger Rune 2-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Rune, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Baez scored 82 points vs Rune’s 65. Sebastian was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Baez wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 76% of his first serves in, winning 69% (38/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Rune 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1 and in Santiago where he defeated Alejandro Tabilo in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4.
Sebastian has an aggregate 20-10 win-loss record in 2024, 17-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 51 |
| Pts | 143-109 | 173-145 |
| Total Points | 252 | 318 |
| Winners | 61 | 77 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
Both Hurkacz and Baez played 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Baez lost 1 set while Hubert Hurkacz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Hurkacz has played 1 set(s) less than Baez (4 vs 5). Therefore, Hurkacz played 14 games less than Baez. The Pole scored 61 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine managed to score 77 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 76/133 | 124/160 |
| %1st in | 57% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 61/76 | 77/124 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 33/57 | 18/36 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 50% |
Hurkacz blasted 20 aces (10 per match). Baez recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Hurkacz won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 11 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 11/21 |
| % Converted | 67% | 52% |
| Conceded | 10 | 19 |
| Saved | 10 | 10 |
| % Saved | 100% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 9 |
Hubert broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Pole pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 10 break points. Baez broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Baez conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | ||||
| R2 Nadal |
R3 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-67 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 37 | |
| pts | 66-43 | 77-66 | 143-109 | |
| Total points | 109 | 143 | 252 | |
| Winners | 25 | 36 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 11 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 46/77 | 76/133 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 60% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 36/46 | 61/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 78% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 17/31 | 33/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 55% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/2 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 3/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baez | ||||
| R2 Lajovic |
R3 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-66 | 2-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 25 | 51 | |
| pts | 91-80 | 82-65 | 173-145 | |
| Total points | 171 | 147 | 318 | |
| Winners | 39 | 38 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 69/88 | 55/72 | 124/160 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 76% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 39/69 | 38/55 | 77/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 69% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 9/17 | 18/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 53% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/6 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 83% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 | 19 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 3/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 50% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLWWLW
LLLLLLLWLL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 7-61) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-72 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-65 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Andrey RublevRublev (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-67 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 4-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-6 7-68 7-64) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Ben SheltonShelton (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (12-2) – H2H and prediction
