Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex De Minaur will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 15th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.46
Alex De Minaur -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 15th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 12-2 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 1-6 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Acapulco back in February 2024.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Acapulco 29-February-2024
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-9 | 9-5 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Stefanos reached the 4th round after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-71 6-4 6-4 and Cameron Norrie 6-2 7-61.
In the 3rd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-2 7-61). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 66 points vs Norrie’s 53. Stefanos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tsitsipas managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Stefanos Tsitsipas was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Stefanos broke Norrie 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefanos has conceded 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (467-211). 12-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tsitsipas has a compiled 174-52 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Carlo where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-1 6-4.
Tsitsipas has a compiled 23-8 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-9 | 12-5 | 7-3 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Australian got to the 4th round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 6-2 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-72 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Auger-Aliassime, De Minaur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-4 6-4). During the match De Minaur scored 99 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 94. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 50% of his first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (27/44) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4.
De Minaur has a compiled 25-9 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tsitsipas | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 50 |
| Pts | 182-162 | 163-133 |
| Total Points | 344 | 296 |
| Winners | 76 | 51 |
| %Winners | 42% | 31% |
Both Tsitsipas and De Minaur played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost 1 set, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Tsitsipas and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Tsitsipas played 4 games more than De Minaur. Tsitsipas scored 76 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur managed to score 51 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tsitsipas | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 101/159 | 71/135 |
| %1st in | 64% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 76/101 | 51/71 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 31/58 | 38/64 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 59% |
Tsitsipas recorded 10 aces (5 per match). De Minaur bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Tsitsipas won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tsitsipas | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 10 |
| Converted | 8/25 | 10/25 |
| % Converted | 32% | 40% |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Saved | 5 | 4 |
| % Saved | 56% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Stefanos broke his opponents 8 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tsitsipas | ||||
| R2 Struff |
R3 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-71 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 21 | 54 | |
| pts | 116-109 | 66-53 | 182-162 | |
| Total points | 225 | 119 | 344 | |
| Winners | 46 | 30 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 64/103 | 37/56 | 101/159 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 46/64 | 30/37 | 76/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 11/19 | 31/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 58% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 3/9 | 8/25 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 33% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 0% | 32% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| De Minaur | ||||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
R3 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-72 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 50 | |
| pts | 64-39 | 99-94 | 163-133 | |
| Total points | 103 | 193 | 296 | |
| Winners | 20 | 31 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 27/47 | 44/88 | 71/135 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 50% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 20/27 | 31/44 | 51/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 70% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 27/44 | 38/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 61% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/12 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWLW
LWWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Andrey RublevRublev (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-67 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 7-61) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-72 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-65 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 4-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-6 7-68 7-64) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Ben SheltonShelton (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (12-2) – H2H and prediction
