Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.39
Elina Svitolina -> 3.02
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2023.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina – French Open 06-June-2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b5jWssXpvr8
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Aryna reached the 4th round after beating Katie Volynets 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Dayana Yastremska 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Yastremska (6-4 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 68 points vs Yastremska’s 52. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Yastremska 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (340-160). 8-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall70-37 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Belarussian has a composed 22-6 win-loss record in 2024, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Elina Svitolina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-9 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-12 | 4-3 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 31-13 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-9 | 9-5 | 10-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Ukrainian reached the 4th round after defeating Sara Errani 6-0 6-2 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Kalinskaya (6-3 6-3). During the match Svitolina scored 61 points vs Kalinskaya’s 48. Elina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Svitolina managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elina Svitolina lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 62% of her first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Svitolina broke Kalinskaya 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Auckland.
Svitolina has an overall 14-8 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, she won this tournament twice in 2017 and 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 32 |
| Pts | 171-141 | 125-88 |
| Total Points | 312 | 213 |
| Winners | 68 | 46 |
| %Winners | 40% | 37% |
Both Sabalenka and Svitolina played 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set while Elina Svitolina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Svitolina (5 vs 4). Therefore, Sabalenka played 13 games more than Svitolina. Sabalenka scored 68 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Elina fired 46 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 101/148 | 59/114 |
| %1st in | 68% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 68/101 | 46/59 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 25/47 | 23/55 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 42% |
Sabalenka bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Svitolina recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Sabalenka won 67% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Svitolina won 78% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/23 | 10/17 |
| % Converted | 43% | 59% |
| Conceded | 18 | 14 |
| Saved | 13 | 12 |
| % Saved | 72% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Elina broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve twice and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Volynets |
R3 Yastremska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 18 | 45 | |
| pts | 103-89 | 68-52 | 171-141 | |
| Total points | 192 | 120 | 312 | |
| Winners | 43 | 25 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 68/98 | 33/50 | 101/148 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 66% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 43/68 | 25/33 | 68/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 76% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/30 | 13/17 | 25/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 76% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 3/10 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 30% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 2 | 18 | |
| Saved | 11/16 | 2/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 100% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Svitolina | ||||
| R2 Errani |
R3 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 18 | 32 | |
| pts | 64-40 | 61-48 | 125-88 | |
| Total points | 104 | 109 | 213 | |
| Winners | 21 | 25 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 27/62 | 32/52 | 59/114 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 62% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 25/32 | 46/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/35 | 9/20 | 23/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 45% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/9 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 44% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 3 | 14 | |
| Saved | 10/11 | 2/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 91% | 67% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LWWLWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (7-64 6-0) – See score progression
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Mayar SherifSherif (6-2 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Linda NoskovaNoskova (3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-1 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Angelique KerberKerber (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
