Jelena Ostapenko and Rebecca Sramkova will square off in the 4^th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:30 pm on PIETRANGELI. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.3
Rebecca Sramkova -> 3.54

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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Rebecca Sramkova

This will be the 3^rd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Rebecca Sramkova square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Ostapenko and Sramkova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Ostapenko won 7-5 6-7(5) 6-1 in the Rubber 1 in 0 back in 2019.

Jelena Ostapenko

Ranked no. 10, Jelena got to the 4^th round after beating Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-2 and Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-4 5-7 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, The Latvian defeated Sorribes Tormo (6-4 5-7 6-1). During the match, Ostapenko scored 106 points vs Sorribes Tormo’s 94. Ostapenko was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ostapenko scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 6 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 7 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 58% of her first serves in, winning 53% (32/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Sorribes Tormo 9 times after converting 50% of her break points (9/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jelena has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Ostapenko has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (305-199). 6-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a composed 66-42 match record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she overcame Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.

Ostapenko has a composed 23-9 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rebecca Sramkova

Ranked no. 120, Rebecca got to the 4^th round after beating Harriet Dart 6-2 6-3, Darja Semenistaja 6-3 6-4, Georgia Pedone 6-4 6-1, Katie Boulter 6-4 7-6⁸ and Sofia Kenin 6-4 4-6 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, Rebecca defeated Kenin (6-4 4-6 6-4).During the match Sramkova scored less points (1) than Kenin. In fact, the world no. 10 won 96 points vs Kenin’s. That means that Sramkova was more focused during the important points. Sramkova was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Sramkova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rebecca Sramkova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sramkova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 60% (41/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Rebecca broke Kenin 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Slovakian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title the W50 Porto where she overcame Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the final 6-7(4) 7-5 6-1.

The Slovakian has an aggregate 19-9 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

The Slovakian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ostapenko	Sramkova
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	5	11
Tot Games	47	106
Pts	179-157	391-322
Total Points	336	713
Winners	57	153
%Winners	32%	39%

Ostapenko played 2 matches while Sramkova competed in 5 matches. Sramkova started her run from the qualifications while Ostapenko had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko surrendered 1 set, while Rebecca Sramkova surrendered 1 set. Ostapenko has played 6 set(s) less than Sramkova (5 vs 11). Therefore, Ostapenko played 59 games less than Sramkova. Jelena scored 57 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Slovakian scored 153 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ostapenko	Sramkova
Aces	1	8
Avg per match	0.5	1.6
1st in	99/180	248/381
%1st in	55%	65%
1st pts	57/99	153/248
%1st pts	58%	62%
2nd pts	36/81	71/133
%2nd pts	44%	53%

Ostapenko fired 1 ace (0.5 per match). Sramkova also scored 8 aces (1.6 per match). Ostapenko won 58% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Sramkova won 62% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ostapenko	Sramkova
Won	15	26
Converted	15/28	26/45
% Converted	54%	58%
Conceded	23	41
Saved	13	26
% Saved	57%	63%
Times Broken	10	15

The Latvian broke her opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Ostapenko dropped her serve 10 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Sramkova broke her opponents 26 times with a 58% conversion rate. Sramkova conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.

Ostapenko
	R2 Potapova	R3 Sorribes Tormo	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 5-7 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	18	29	47
pts	73-63	106-94	179-157
Total points	136	200	336
Winners	25	32	57
%Winners	34%	30%	32%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1
Double Faults	2	6	8
1st in	39/76	60/104	99/180
% 1st in	51%	58%	55%
1st pts	25/39	32/60	57/99
% 1st pts	64%	53%	58%
2nd pts	16/37	20/44	36/81
% 2nd pts	43%	45%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	9	15
Converted	6/10	9/18	15/28
Converted %	60%	50%	54%
Conceded	9	14	23
Saved	6/9	7/14	13
Saved %	67%	50%	59%
Times Broken	3	7	10

Sramkova
	Q1 Dart	Q3 Semenistaja	R1 Pedone	R2 Boulter	R3 Kenin	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-1	6-4 7-68	6-4 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	3	11
Tot Games	17	19	17	23	30	106
pts	64-45	70-56	67-42	94-82	96-97	391-322
Total points	109	126	109	176	193	713
Winners	25	29	20	38	41	153
%Winners	39%	41%	30%	40%	43%	39%
SERVE
Aces	4	1	0	2	1	8
Double Faults	5	0	1	1	1	8
1st in	39/68	52/68	28/42	61/101	68/102	248/381
% 1st in	57%	76%	67%	60%	67%	65%
1st pts	25/39	29/52	20/28	38/61	41/68	153/248
% 1st pts	64%	56%	71%	62%	60%	62%
2nd pts	15/29	7/16	10/14	22/40	17/34	71/133
% 2nd pts	52%	44%	71%	55%	50%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	6	5	4	6	26
Converted	5/6	6/11	5/11	4/4	6/13	26/45
Converted %	83%	55%	45%	100%	46%	58%
Conceded	7	6	2	19	7	41
Saved	5/7	2/6	1/2	16/19	2/7	26
Saved %	71%	33%	50%	84%	29%	134%
Times Broken	2	4	1	3	5	15

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Mayar SherifSherif (6-2 6-7⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (7-6⁴ 6-0) – See score progression
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-6¹ 6-3) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Linda NoskovaNoskova (3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-1 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Angelique KerberKerber (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-2) – H2H and prediction