Maria Sakkari and Victoria Azarenka will square off in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6:00 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.65
Victoria Azarenka -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Victoria Azarenka

This will be the 3rd time that Maria Sakkari and Victoria Azarenka face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Azarenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Azarenka won 6-4 3-6 7-6(2) in the 3rd round in Montreal back in 2021.

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

21 - 10win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-4
Rank
32
High
3
LLWWLWWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-16 12-7 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0
2020 20-11 12-7 2-2 6-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 8, the Greek reached the 4th round after beating Varvara Gracheva 6-2 6-2 and Anhelina Kalinina 7-64 6-0.

In the 3rd round, Sakkari had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (7-64 6-0). During the match, Sakkari scored 77 points vs Kalinina’s 59. Sakkari was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sakkari made 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 64% of her first serves in, winning 86% (36/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (8/24) on the 2nd serve. The Greek broke Kalinina 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maria hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Sakkari has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (342-221). 9-3 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a compiled 120-71 match record in the last years on clay.

The Greek’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Indian Wells.

Maria has an overall 21-9 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Sakkari's Record

Victoria Azarenka

Victoria Azarenka

20 - 8win/loss

Hard
14-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-2
Rank
20
High
1
LLWWLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-15 20-10 7-4 0-0 3-1 0-0
2023 23-19 17-13 2-3 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 24-13 18-9 6-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 28-9 18-6 4-1 0-0 6-2 0-0
2020 18-6 11-3 4-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 24, Azarenka reached the 4th round after defeating Magda Linette 6-75 6-4 6-3 and Mayar Sherif 6-2 6-76 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Victoria defeated Sherif (6-2 6-76 6-3). During the match Azarenka scored 114 points vs Sherif’s 96. Azarenka was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Azarenka couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 7 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 74% of her first serves in, winning 58% (46/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (10/28) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Sherif 10 times after converting 59% of her break points (10/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Victoria has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Azarenka’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane and Miami.

The Belarussian has an aggregate 19-8 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2013. See her history

.
Rome
Azarenka's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Sakkari
V.Azarenka
3h:12
3h:12
Time on court​
!
5h:45
5h:45
1h:49
1h:49
Last match​
!
2h:54
2h:54
2
2
Match played
2
2
35
35
Games Played​
62
62
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
145
145
Total points​
219
219
72.5
72.5
Avg point​
109.5
109.5
59
59
Winners
90
90
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
45
45
41%
41%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
1
1
3
3
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
6
6
Double Faults
16
16
3
3
Avg Double Faults
!
8
8
59/76
59/76
1st won total​
90/144
90/144
!
78%
78%
1st won %
63%
63%
26/51
26/51
2nd won total​
31/76
31/76
51%
51%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
8/17
8/17
BP won
17/27
17/27
4/8.5
4/8.5
Avg BP won
8.5/13.5
8.5/13.5
47%
47%
Won
!
63%
63%
10
10
Conceded
18
18
5
5
Avg Conceded
9
9
1
1
Broken
12
12
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
6
6
9
9
Saved
6
6
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sakkari Azarenka
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 35 62
Pts 145-105 219-194
Total Points 250 413
Winners 59 90
%Winners 41% 41%

Both Sakkari and Azarenka played 2 matches. At the moment, Victoria Azarenka surrendered 2 sets while Maria Sakkari hasn’t lost a set so far. Sakkari has played 2 set(s) less than Azarenka (4 vs 6). Therefore, Sakkari played 27 games less than Azarenka. Sakkari scored 59 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Belarussian fired 90 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sakkari Azarenka
Aces 6 1
Avg per match 3 0.5
1st in 76/127 144/220
%1st in 60% 65%
1st pts 59/76 90/144
%1st pts 78% 63%
2nd pts 26/51 31/76
%2nd pts 51% 41%

Sakkari fired 6 aces (3 per match). Azarenka made 1 ace (0.5 per match). Sakkari won 78% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 63% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sakkari Azarenka
Won 8 17
Converted 8/17 17/27
% Converted 47% 63%
Conceded 10 18
Saved 9 6
% Saved 90% 33%
Times Broken 1 12

The Greek broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Sakkari conceded her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded. The Belarussian broke her opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. Victoria conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.

Sakkari
R2
Gracheva		 R3
Kalinina		 Total
Score 6-2 6-2 7-64 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 19 35
pts 68-46 77-59 145-105
Total points 114 136 250
Winners 23 36 59
%Winners 34% 47% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 6
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 34/61 42/66 76/127
% 1st in 56% 64% 60%
1st pts 23/34 36/42 59/76
% 1st pts 68% 86% 78%
2nd pts 18/27 8/24 26/51
% 2nd pts 67% 33% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/9 4/8 8/17
Converted % 44% 50% 47%
Conceded 4 6 10
Saved 4/4 5/6 9
Saved % 100% 83% 92%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Azarenka
R2
Linette		 R3
Sherif		 Total
Score 6-75 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-76 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 32 30 62
pts 105-98 114-96 219-194
Total points 203 210 413
Winners 44 46 90
%Winners 42% 40% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 12 4 16
1st in 64/112 80/108 144/220
% 1st in 57% 74% 65%
1st pts 44/64 46/80 90/144
% 1st pts 69% 58% 63%
2nd pts 21/48 10/28 31/76
% 2nd pts 44% 36% 41%
Breaks
Won 7 10 17
Converted 7/10 10/17 17/27
Converted % 70% 59% 63%
Conceded 8 10 18
Saved 3/8 3/10 6
Saved % 38% 30% 34%
Times Broken 5 7 12

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sakkari
More Stats
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Azarenka

Click for FULL STATS