Madison Keys and Sorana Cirstea will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on PIETRANGELI. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.62
Sorana Cirstea -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Sorana Cirstea clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Cirstea (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Cirstea won 6-1 ret. in the 2nd round in Indian Wells back in 2023.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-5 | 3-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the American got to the 4th round after beating Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-0 4-6 6-3 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The American defeated Haddad Maia (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 92 points vs Haddad Maia’s 86. The American was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys bagged 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 5 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 55% of her first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Haddad Maia 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (243-133). 6-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an aggregate 60-33 record in the last years on clay.
Keys’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Madrid.
The American has a compiled 9-4 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-12 | 9-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-10 | 14-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Sorana reached the 4th round after defeating Brenda Fruhvirtova 7-5 6-0 and Marketa Vondrousova 7-61 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Cirstea had a good straight sets win against Vondrousova (7-61 6-3). During the match Cirstea scored 74 points vs Vondrousova’s 68. The Romanian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Cirstea fired 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 60% of her first serves in, winning 62% (29/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Vondrousova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cirstea hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Sorana’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
The Romanian has an overall 12-10 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2012. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 40 |
| Pts | 182-158 | 148-123 |
| Total Points | 340 | 271 |
| Winners | 59 | 49 |
| %Winners | 32% | 33% |
Both Keys and Cirstea played 2 matches. At the moment, Madison Keys lost 2 sets while Sorana Cirstea hasn’t dropped a set so far. Keys has played 2 sets more than Cirstea (6 vs 4). Therefore, Keys played 14 games more than Cirstea. Keys scored 59 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Sorana recorded 49 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 87/142 | 81/145 |
| %1st in | 61% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 59/87 | 49/81 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 25/55 | 32/64 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 50% |
Keys scored 6 aces (3 per match). Cirstea fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Keys won 68% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 60% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/31 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 45% | 57% |
| Conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Saved | 4 | 11 |
| % Saved | 33% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 6 |
Madison broke her opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Keys conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Sorana broke her opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sorana conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | ||||
| R2 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R3 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 29 | 54 | |
| pts | 90-72 | 92-86 | 182-158 | |
| Total points | 162 | 178 | 340 | |
| Winners | 31 | 28 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 30% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 45/66 | 42/76 | 87/142 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 55% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/45 | 28/42 | 59/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 67% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 15/34 | 25/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 44% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 7/13 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 54% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 1/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 17% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Cirstea | ||||
| R2 Fruhvirtova |
R3 Vondrousova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-0 | 7-61 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| pts | 74-55 | 74-68 | 148-123 | |
| Total points | 129 | 142 | 271 | |
| Winners | 20 | 29 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 39% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/67 | 47/78 | 81/145 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 20/34 | 29/47 | 49/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 62% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 15/31 | 32/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 48% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 5/8 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 63% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 4/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 57% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLWWWW
LLWWLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (7-64 6-0) – See score progression
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-1 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Linda NoskovaNoskova (3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (7-6(4) 6-0) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Mayar SherifSherif (6-2 6-7(6) 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Mayar SherifSherif (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Caroline GarciaGarcia (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Angelique KerberKerber (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
