Iga Swiatek and Angelique Kerber will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.039
Angelique Kerber -> 11.25

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Angelique Kerber

This will be the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Angelique Kerber fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 6-3 6-0 in the final in Australia back in January 2024.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Angelique Kerber – Australia 07-January-2024

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

34 - 4win/loss

Hard
22-3
I Hard
2-0
Clay
10-1
Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-4 22-3 21-1 2-0 0-0 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Iga reached the 4th round after beating Bernarda Pera 6-0 6-2 and Yulia Putintseva 6-3 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Putintseva (6-3 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 75 points vs Putintseva’s 59. Iga was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Iga Swiatek was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of her 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Pole broke Putintseva 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (319-71). 10-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled121-17 record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

The Pole has a compiled 34-4 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Swiatek's Record

Angelique Kerber

Angelique Kerber

7 - 9win/loss

Hard
4-7
I Hard
0-1
Clay
3-1
Rank
223
High
1
LLWWWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-11 4-7 3-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 13-11 2-4 7-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 30-16 14-8 4-4 1-2 11-2 0-0
2020 7-6 7-4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 331, Angelique got to the 4th round after defeating Lauren Davis 6-1 6-0, Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 6-0 and Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-3 7-64.

In the 3rd round, Angelique had a good straight sets win against Sasnovich (6-3 7-64). During the match Kerber scored 72 points vs Sasnovich’s 64. Angelique was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Kerber scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Angelique Kerber lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kerber put 70% of her first serves in, winning 57% (27/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. The German was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Sasnovich 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kerber hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

The German’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Australia.

Angelique has a compiled 7-9 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2012. See her history

.
Rome
Kerber's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
A.Kerber
3h:03
3h:03
Time on court​
3h:36
3h:36
1h:46
1h:46
Last match​
1h:25
1h:25
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
33
33
Games Played​
50
50
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
144
144
Total points​
188
188
72
72
Avg point​
62.7
62.7
53
53
Winners
76
76
26.5
26.5
Avg Winners​
25.3
25.3
37%
37%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
3
3
0
0
Avg Aces
1
1
2
2
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
53/75
53/75
1st won total​
76/116
76/116
!
71%
71%
1st won %
66%
66%
30/50
30/50
2nd won total​
28/48
28/48
60%
60%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
9/21
9/21
BP won
14/19
14/19
4.5/10.5
4.5/10.5
Avg BP won
4.7/6.3
4.7/6.3
43%
43%
Won
!
74%
74%
10
10
Conceded
7
7
5
5
Avg Conceded
2.3
2.3
2
2
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
8
8
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Kerber
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 33 50
Pts 144-103 188-127
Total Points 247 315
Winners 53 76
%Winners 37% 40%

Swiatek played 2 matches while Kerber competed in 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Kerber (4 vs 6). Therefore, Swiatek played 17 games less than Kerber. Swiatek scored 53 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Angelique blasted 76 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Kerber
Aces 0 3
Avg per match 0 1
1st in 75/125 116/164
%1st in 60% 71%
1st pts 53/75 76/116
%1st pts 71% 66%
2nd pts 30/50 28/48
%2nd pts 60% 58%

Swiatek didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kerber fired 3 aces (1 per match). Swiatek won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Kerber won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Kerber
Won 9 14
Converted 9/21 14/19
% Converted 43% 74%
Conceded 10 7
Saved 8 3
% Saved 80% 43%
Times Broken 2 4

Swiatek broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Swiatek lost her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Kerber broke her opponents 14 times with a 74% conversion rate. Kerber conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Pera
R3
Putintseva
Total
Score 6-0 6-2 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 14 19 33
pts 69-44 75-59 144-103
Total points 113 134 247
Winners 21 32 53
%Winners 30% 43% 37%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 0
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 30/52 45/73 75/125
% 1st in 58% 62% 60%
1st pts 21/30 32/45 53/75
% 1st pts 70% 71% 71%
2nd pts 13/22 17/28 30/50
% 2nd pts 59% 61% 60%
Breaks
Won 6 3 9
Converted 6/15 3/6 9/21
Converted % 40% 50% 43%
Conceded 5 5 10
Saved 4/5 4/5 8
Saved % 80% 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Kerber
R1
Davis
R2
Kudermetova
R3
Sasnovich
Total
Score 6-1 6-0 6-3 6-0 6-3 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 13 15 22 50
pts 61-32 55-31 72-64 188-127
Total points 93 86 136 315
Winners 24 25 27 76
%Winners 39% 45% 38% 40%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 1 3
Double Faults 2 1 2 5
1st in 32/46 37/51 47/67 116/164
% 1st in 70% 73% 70% 71%
1st pts 24/32 25/37 27/47 76/116
% 1st pts 75% 68% 57% 66%
2nd pts 8/14 10/14 10/20 28/48
% 2nd pts 57% 71% 50% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 14
Converted 5/9 4/5 5/5 14/19
Converted % 56% 80% 100% 74%
Conceded 1 0 6 7
Saved 1/1 0/0 2/6 3
Saved % 100% 33% 67%
Times Broken 0 0 4 4

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw