Nicolas Jarry and Stefano Napolitano will square off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:30 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.5
Stefano Napolitano -> 2.6
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Stefano Napolitano
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Jarry and Stefano Napolitano since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 7-5 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Jarry got to the 3rd round after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 7-66.
In the 2nd round, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-2 7-66). During the match, Jarry scored 82 points vs Arnaldi’s 65. The Chilean was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Jarry fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was very efficient on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jarry broke Arnaldi 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Jarry has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (320-215). 5-6 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Jarry has an aggregate 227-119 record in the last years on clay.
The Chilean’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Buenos Aires.
Jarry has an aggregate 12-11 win-loss record in 2024, 5-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Stefano Napolitano
19 - 7win/loss
130
121
LWLWLWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 9-3 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-23 | 9-6 | 38-13 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 1-1 | 20-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-17 | 1-2 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 125 (career-high), Stefano got to the 3rd round after beating Jeff Wolf 6-2 7-63 and Juncheng Shang 6-73 6-1 6-0.
In the 2nd round against Shang, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-1 6-0). During the match Napolitano scored 90 points vs Shang’s 67. Napolitano was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Napolitano made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Stefano Napolitano was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (35/45) of his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Napolitano broke Shang 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefano has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Bengaluru Challenger where he defeated Seong Chan Hong in the final 4-6 6-3 6-3 and the Madrid Challenger where he beat Leandro Riedi in the final 6-3 6-3.
Stefano has a compiled 19-7 win-loss record in 2024, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2017 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jarry | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 47 |
| Pts | 82-65 | 161-124 |
| Total Points | 147 | 285 |
| Winners | 34 | 62 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Jarry played 1 match while Napolitano competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Stefano Napolitano dropped 1 set while Nicolas Jarry hasn’t dropped a set so far. Jarry has played 3 set(s) less than Napolitano (2 vs 5). Therefore, Jarry played 26 games less than Napolitano. Jarry scored 34 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 62 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jarry | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 80/150 |
| %1st in | 60% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 62/80 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 40/70 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 57% |
Jarry managed to score 5 aces . Napolitano recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Jarry won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Napolitano won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jarry | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 9/15 |
| % Converted | 30% | 60% |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 80% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Chilean broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Stefano broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Napolitano conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Jarry | |||
| R2 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 82-65 | 82-65 | |
| Total points | 147 | 147 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 43/72 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 34/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 16/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Napolitano | ||||
| R1 Wolf |
R2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-63 | 6-73 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 26 | 47 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 90-67 | 161-124 | |
| Total points | 128 | 157 | 285 | |
| Winners | 27 | 35 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 3 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/65 | 45/85 | 80/150 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 35/45 | 62/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 22/40 | 40/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 55% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 6/9 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 67% | 147% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWLLL
LWLWLWWLWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-6 7-68 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 4-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-2) – H2H and prediction
