Alex De Minaur and Felix Auger-Aliassime will face off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on GRAND STAND ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.65
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Felix Auger-Aliassime face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), but De Minaur has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 6-4 in the Rubber 2 in 0 back in 2022.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-18 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-6 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, De Minaur reached the 3rd round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-3 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 64 points vs Carballes Baena’s 39. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was very efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. De Minaur broke Carballes Baena 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (342-196). 5-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a composed 60-49 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Australian has an aggregate 24-9 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Felix Auger-Aliassime
17 - 11win/loss
29
6
LWLWLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-19 | 8-8 | 1-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Auger-Aliassime reached the 3rd round after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-1 7-66.
In the 2nd round, Felix had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-1 7-66). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 79 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 68. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime scored 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 61% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. Felix broke Van De Zandschulp 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
The Canadian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Madrid.
The Canadian has an overall 17-11 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 |
| Pts | 64-39 | 79-68 |
| Total Points | 103 | 147 |
| Winners | 20 | 39 |
| %Winners | 31% | 49% |
Both De Minaur and Auger-Aliassime played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 2. However, De Minaur played 3 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Alex scored 20 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Felix bagged 39 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 27/47 | 54/88 |
| %1st in | 57% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 20/27 | 39/54 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 14/34 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 41% |
De Minaur recorded 4 aces . Auger-Aliassime bagged 3 aces . De Minaur won 74% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 46% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Australian broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. De Minaur dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Auger-Aliassime broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 64-39 | 64-39 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/47 | 27/47 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 20/27 | 20/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | |||
| R2 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 79-68 | 79-68 | |
| Total points | 147 | 147 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 54/88 | 54/88 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 39/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/34 | 14/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLWWW
LWLWLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-6 7-68 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 4-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-2) – H2H and prediction
