Aryna Sabalenka and Dayana Yastremska will square off in the 3^rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.125
Dayana Yastremska -> 6.15

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Dayana Yastremska

This will be the 4^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Dayana Yastremska fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Yastremska (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Yastremska won 6-4 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Adelaide back in 2020.

Highlights Dayana Yastremska vs Aryna Sabalenka – Adelaide 17-January-2020

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 2, Aryna reached the 3^rd round after beating Katie Volynets 4-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Volynets, The Belarussian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 103 points vs Volynets’s 89. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 69% of her first serves in, winning 63% (43/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Volynets 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).

Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (339-160). 7-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a composed69-37 record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Sabalenka has an overall 21-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Dayana Yastremska

Ranked no. 33, the Ukrainian got to the 3^rd round after beating Laura Siegemund 4-6 7-5 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Siegemund, Yastremska recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Yastremska scored 97 points vs Siegemund’s 89. Yastremska was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Yastremska scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Dayana Yastremska lost the serve 6 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 48% of her first serves in, winning 61% (30/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (24/54) on the 2nd serve. Yastremska broke Siegemund 8 times after converting 73% of her break points (8/11).

The Ukrainian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in at the Australian Open .

Yastremska has a compiled 15-9 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2020. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Yastremska
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	30
Pts	103-89	97-89
Total Points	192	186
Winners	43	30
%Winners	42%	31%

Both Sabalenka and Yastremska played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Dayana Yastremska dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Yastremska have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Sabalenka played 3 games less than Yastremska. Aryna scored 43 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian managed to score 30 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Yastremska
Aces	3	1
Avg per match	3	1
1st in	68/98	49/103
%1st in	69%	48%
1st pts	43/68	30/49
%1st pts	63%	61%
2nd pts	12/30	24/54
%2nd pts	40%	44%

Sabalenka managed to score 3 aces . Yastremska fired 1 ace . Sabalenka won 63% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Yastremska
Won	7	8
Converted	7/13	8/11
% Converted	54%	73%
Conceded	16	15
Saved	11	9
% Saved	69%	60%
Times Broken	5	6

Sabalenka broke her opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponent 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Volynets	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	103-89	103-89
Total points	192	192
Winners	43	43
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	68/98	68/98
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	43/68	43/68
% 1st pts	63%	63%
2nd pts	12/30	12/30
% 2nd pts	40%	40%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/13	7/13
Converted %	54%	54%
Conceded	16	16
Saved	11/16	11
Saved %	69%	69%
Times Broken	5	5

Yastremska
	R2 Siegemund	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	30	30
pts	97-89	97-89
Total points	186	186
Winners	30	30
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	6	6
1st in	49/103	49/103
% 1st in	48%	48%
1st pts	30/49	30/49
% 1st pts	61%	61%
2nd pts	24/54	24/54
% 2nd pts	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	8	8
Converted	8/11	8/11
Converted %	73%	73%
Conceded	15	15
Saved	9/15	9
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	6	6

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (5-7 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-6¹ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Linda NoskovaNoskova (3-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Madison KeysMadison – Beatriz Haddad MaiaBeatriz (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Cori GauffGauff – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Mayar SherifSherif (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Caroline GarciaGarcia (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Angelique KerberKerber (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction