Bu Yunchaokete and Egor Gerasimov will face off in the final of the Wuxi Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Bu Yunchaokete who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Bu Yunchaokete is the pick to win this match.
Bu Yunchaokete -> 1.55
Egor Gerasimov -> 2.35

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Prediction and head to head Bu Yunchaokete vs. Egor Gerasimov

There is no head to head record between Bu Yunchaokete and Egor Gerasimov since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Bu Yunchaokete

Ranked no. 239, the Chinese got to the final after defeating Omar Jasika 6-3 6-0, Linang Xiao 6-1 7-5, Tung-Lin Wu 6-4 6-3 and Philip Sekulic 7-5 1-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Bu defeated Sekulic (7-5 1-6 6-4).During the match, Yunchaokete scored less points (1) than Sekulic. In fact, the world no. 239 won 89 points vs Sekulic’s. That means that Yunchaokete was more focused during the important points. Yunchaokete was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Yunchaokete recorded 7 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Bu Yunchaokete lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Yunchaokete put 58% of his first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the 2nd serve. Bu broke Sekulic 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bu has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Yunchaokete has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 69% of his matches (142-63). 14-5 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Yunchaokete has a compiled126-46 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.

Yunchaokete’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Gwangju Challenger.

The Chinese has an aggregate 17-8 win-loss record in 2024, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Wuxi Challenger

Bu has never competed in this tournament before.

Egor Gerasimov

Ranked no. 321, Egor got to the final after beating Hiroki Moriya 6-3 7-5, Max Purcell 6-4 6-3, Jie Cui 3-6 6-4 7-5 and Alibek Kachmazov 1-6 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Kachmazov, The Belarussian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Gerasimov scored less points (4) than Kachmazov. In fact, the world no. 239 won 75 points vs Kachmazov’s. That means that Gerasimov was more focused during the important points. Egor was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Gerasimov struck 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Egor Gerasimov lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Gerasimov put 60% of his first serves in, winning 78% (38/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Egor was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kachmazov twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gerasimov has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Gerasimov’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger and the Wuxi Challenger.

The Belarussian has a compiled 19-13 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Yunchaokete	Gerasimov
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	82	97
Pts	286-233	320-292
Total Points	519	612
Winners	106	143
%Winners	37%	45%

Both Yunchaokete and Gerasimov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Bu Yunchaokete conceded 1 set, while Egor Gerasimov surrendered 2 sets. Yunchaokete has played 1 set(s) less than Gerasimov (9 vs 10). Therefore, Yunchaokete played 15 games less than Gerasimov. Yunchaokete scored 106 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Belarussian fired 143 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Yunchaokete	Gerasimov
Aces	27	33
Avg per match	6.8	8.3
1st in	143/246	180/300
%1st in	58%	60%
1st pts	106/143	143/180
%1st pts	74%	79%
2nd pts	56/103	53/120
%2nd pts	54%	44%

Yunchaokete fired 27 aces (6.8 per match). Gerasimov made 33 aces (8.3 per match). Yunchaokete won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Gerasimov won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Yunchaokete	Gerasimov
Won	17	13
Converted	17/37	13/28
% Converted	46%	46%
Conceded	22	20
Saved	16	13
% Saved	73%	65%
Times Broken	6	7

Yunchaokete broke his opponents 17 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Gerasimov broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Yunchaokete
	R1 Jasika	R2 Xiao	1/4 Wu	1/2 Sekulic	Total
Score	6-3 6-0	6-1 7-5	6-4 6-3	7-5 1-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	15	19	19	29	82
pts	56-31	72-52	69-60	89-90	286-233
Total points	87	124	129	179	519
Winners	16	32	27	31	106
%Winners	29%	44%	39%	35%	37%
SERVE
Aces	4	12	4	7	27
Double Faults	2	3	1	0	6
1st in	18/36	39/61	39/68	47/81	143/246
% 1st in	50%	64%	57%	58%	58%
1st pts	16/18	32/39	27/39	31/47	106/143
% 1st pts	89%	82%	69%	66%	74%
2nd pts	13/18	10/22	15/29	18/34	56/103
% 2nd pts	72%	45%	52%	53%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	4	17
Converted	5/11	4/8	4/6	4/12	17/37
Converted %	45%	50%	67%	33%	46%
Conceded	2	3	8	9	22
Saved	2/2	2/3	7/8	5/9	16
Saved %	100%	67%	88%	56%	78%
Times Broken	0	1	1	4	6

Gerasimov
	R1 Moriya	R2 Purcell	1/4 Cui	1/2 Kachmazov	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	6-4 6-3	3-6 6-4 7-5	1-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	21	19	31	26	97
pts	69-59	76-56	100-98	75-79	320-292
Total points	128	132	198	154	612
Winners	28	25	52	38	143
%Winners	41%	33%	52%	51%	45%
SERVE
Aces	7	9	11	6	33
Double Faults	8	2	6	3	19
1st in	36/64	28/47	67/108	49/81	180/300
% 1st in	56%	60%	62%	60%	60%
1st pts	28/36	25/28	52/67	38/49	143/180
% 1st pts	78%	89%	78%	78%	79%
2nd pts	9/28	12/19	18/41	14/32	53/120
% 2nd pts	32%	63%	44%	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	3	2	2	13
Converted	6/10	3/13	2/3	2/2	13/28
Converted %	60%	23%	67%	100%	46%
Conceded	6	0	7	7	20
Saved	3/6	0/0	5/7	5/7	13
Saved %	50%	–	71%	71%	48%
Times Broken	3	0	2	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction