Jozef Kovalik and Lucas Pouille will square off in the final of the Mauthausen Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Pouille who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Pouille is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Pouille -> 1.63
Jozef Kovalik -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. Lucas Pouille
This will be the 2nd time that Jozef Kovalik and Lucas Pouille play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kovalik (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Kovalik won 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the final in Serbia F14.
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-14 | 3-4 | 24-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-16 | 2-3 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 160, Kovalik got to the final after defeating Vilius Gaubas 6-0 7-60, Gustavo Heide 6-2 6-1 and Gerald Melzer 7-66 6-3.
In the quarter, Kovalik had a good straight sets win against Melzer (7-66 6-3). During the match, Kovalik scored 71 points vs Melzer’s 63. The Slovakian was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kovalik managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 50% of his first serves in, winning 74% (25/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. The Slovakian broke Melzer 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kovalik hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Kovalik has winning record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (292-252). 16-5 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kovalik has an aggregate 242-166 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Zadar Challenger where he beat Adrian Andreev in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Split Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 5-7 7-5.
Kovalik has a composed 19-9 win-loss record in 2024, 16-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mauthausen Challenger
Lucas Pouille
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-12 | 9-2 | 8-5 | 4-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-10 | 3-2 | 7-5 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-24 | 7-3 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 229, Lucas reached the final after beating Dennis Novak 6-3 3-6 6-4, Jan Choinski 7-63 6-3, Max Hans Rehberg 6-2 6-3 and Francisco Comesana 7-65 3-1 ret..
In the semifinal against Comesana, Pouille had a free pass after Comesana retired on a 7-65 3-1 . scoreline.
The French player best result of the season was getting to the final in the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger.
Lucas has an overall 20-11 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovalik | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 84 |
| Pts | 323-245 | 313-259 |
| Total Points | 568 | 572 |
| Winners | 105 | 104 |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% |
Both Kovalik and Pouille played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jozef Kovalik conceded 1 set, while Lucas Pouille lost 1 set. Kovalik has played 1 set(s) less than Pouille (9 vs 10). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (84). The Slovakian scored 105 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Pouille scored 104 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovalik | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 147/279 | 136/296 |
| %1st in | 53% | 46% |
| 1st pts | 105/147 | 104/136 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 70/132 | 88/160 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 55% |
Kovalik managed to score 10 aces (2.5 per match). Pouille scored 20 aces (5 per match). Kovalik won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Pouille won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovalik | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 12 |
| Converted | 21/45 | 12/29 |
| % Converted | 47% | 41% |
| Conceded | 17 | 26 |
| Saved | 9 | 20 |
| % Saved | 53% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 6 |
Jozef broke his opponents 21 times with a 47% conversion rate. Jozef surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Pouille broke his opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. Pouille conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovalik | |||||
| R1 Gaubas |
R2 Heide |
1/4 Melzer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-60 | 6-2 6-1 | 7-66 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 22 | 56 | |
| pts | 69-43 | 68-49 | 71-63 | 208-155 | |
| Total points | 112 | 117 | 134 | 363 | |
| Winners | 21 | 22 | 25 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 32% | 35% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 32/57 | 33/63 | 34/68 | 99/188 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 52% | 50% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/32 | 22/33 | 25/34 | 68/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 67% | 74% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 18/30 | 15/34 | 46/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 60% | 44% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 4/8 | 5/6 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 50% | 83% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 3/3 | 1/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 100% | 25% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Pouille | ||||||
| R1 Novak |
R2 Choinski |
1/4 Hans |
1/2 Comesana |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 7-63 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-65 3-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 84 | |
| pts | 91-86 | 85-75 | 68-42 | 69-56 | 313-259 | |
| Total points | 177 | 160 | 110 | 125 | 572 | |
| Winners | 32 | 31 | 25 | 16 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 37% | 23% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 41/90 | 39/83 | 30/56 | 26/67 | 136/296 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 47% | 54% | 39% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 31/39 | 25/30 | 16/26 | 104/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 79% | 83% | 62% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/49 | 23/44 | 15/26 | 24/41 | 88/160 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 52% | 58% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/8 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 12/29 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6/7 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 86% | 75% | 71% | 102% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lucas PouillePouille – Jozef KovalikKovalik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
