Diana Shnaider and Paula Badosa Gibert will play each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on PIETRANGELI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.7
Diana Shnaider -> 2.16

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Prediction and head to head Diana Shnaider vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

This will be the 4th time that Diana Shnaider and Paula Badosa Gibert square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Badosa won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Stuttgart back in April 2024.

Highlights Paula Badosa Gibert vs Diana Shnaider – Stuttgart 15-April-2024

Diana Shnaider

Diana Shnaider

17 - 9win/loss

Hard
13-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-2
Rank
47
High
47
WWWWWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-10 13-7 9-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 25-22 14-13 10-8 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 58-17 11-4 46-11 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-3 0-0 8-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2020 2-2 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 62, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Greetje Minnen 6-2 6-3 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-1 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Diana had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-1 6-3). During the match, Shnaider scored 64 points vs Samsonova’s 43. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shnaider was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Diana Shnaider lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Shnaider put 67% of her first serves in, winning 63% (19/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the 2nd serve. Diana broke Samsonova 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Diana hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

Shnaider has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 68% of her matches (111-53). 4-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shnaider has an aggregate70-25 match record in the last 6 years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Hua Hin where she defeated Lin Zhu in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.

Diana has an overall 17-9 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Diana has never competed in this tournament before.

Rome
Shnaider's Record

Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert

8 - 9win/loss

Hard
5-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-3
Rank
140
High
2
LWWWLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 9-10 5-6 4-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2020 14-9 7-6 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 126, Badosa reached the 3rd round after beating Mirra Andreeva 6-2 6-3 and Emma Navarro 1-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Navarro, Paula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 91 points vs Navarro’s 86. Paula was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Badosa blasted 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 65% of her first serves in, winning 59% (34/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Navarro 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paula has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Badosa has a compiled 8-9 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.

Rome
Badosa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Shnaider
P.Badosa
2h:52
2h:52
Time on court​
3h:30
3h:30
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:56
1h:56
2
2
Match played
2
2
33
33
Games Played​
42
42
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
135
135
Total points​
162
162
67.5
67.5
Avg point​
81
81
41
41
Winners
63
63
20.5
20.5
Avg Winners​
31.5
31.5
30%
30%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
5
5
0.5
0.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
2
2
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
41/63
41/63
1st won total​
63/101
63/101
65%
65%
1st won %
62%
62%
20/34
20/34
2nd won total​
30/52
30/52
59%
59%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
11/24
11/24
BP won
9/22
9/22
5.5/12
5.5/12
Avg BP won
4.5/11
4.5/11
46%
46%
Won
41%
41%
5
5
Conceded
20
20
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
10
10
3
3
Broken
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3
3
2
2
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shnaider Badosa
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 33 42
Pts 135-94 162-139
Total Points 229 301
Winners 41 63
%Winners 30% 39%

Both Shnaider and Badosa played 2 matches. At the moment, Paula Badosa Gibert lost 1 set while Diana Shnaider hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Shnaider has played 1 set(s) less than Badosa (4 vs 5). Therefore, Shnaider played 9 games less than Badosa. The Russian scored 41 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa struck 63 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shnaider Badosa
Aces 1 5
Avg per match 0.5 2.5
1st in 63/97 101/153
%1st in 65% 66%
1st pts 41/63 63/101
%1st pts 65% 62%
2nd pts 20/34 30/52
%2nd pts 59% 58%

Shnaider fired 1 ace (0.5 per match). Badosa also managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Shnaider won 65% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 62% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shnaider Badosa
Won 11 9
Converted 11/24 9/22
% Converted 46% 41%
Conceded 5 20
Saved 2 14
% Saved 40% 70%
Times Broken 3 6

Diana broke her opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Shnaider surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Shnaider
R1
Minnen
R2
Samsonova
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 16 33
pts 71-51 64-43 135-94
Total points 122 107 229
Winners 22 19 41
%Winners 31% 30% 30%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 33/52 30/45 63/97
% 1st in 63% 67% 65%
1st pts 22/33 19/30 41/63
% 1st pts 67% 63% 65%
2nd pts 12/19 8/15 20/34
% 2nd pts 63% 53% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/10 6/14 11/24
Converted % 50% 43% 46%
Conceded 3 2 5
Saved 2/3 0/2 2
Saved % 67% 0% 34%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Badosa
R1
Andreeva
R2
Navarro
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 1-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 25 42
pts 71-53 91-86 162-139
Total points 124 177 301
Winners 29 34 63
%Winners 41% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 4 1 5
1st in 43/64 58/89 101/153
% 1st in 67% 65% 66%
1st pts 29/43 34/58 63/101
% 1st pts 67% 59% 62%
2nd pts 11/21 19/31 30/52
% 2nd pts 52% 61% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/11 4/11 9/22
Converted % 45% 36% 41%
Conceded 7 13 20
Saved 5/7 9/13 14
Saved % 71% 69% 70%
Times Broken 2 4 6

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw