Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone will face off in the final of the Cagliari Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:30 pm on CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.51
Mariano Navone -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Mariano Navone

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

12 - 13win/loss

Hard
6-7
I Hard
1-2
Clay
5-4
Rank
17
High
15
LLWWLLWLWW
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 46-29 13-12 18-10 3-4 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 29, Musetti reached the final after defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-64 7-64, Nuno Borges 1-6 6-1 6-2 and Daniel Elahi Galan 6-1 6-4.

In the semifinal, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Elahi Galan Riveros (6-1 6-4). During the match, Musetti scored 61 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 42. Lorenzo was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve once. Furthermore, Musetti put 67% of his first serves in, winning 74% (25/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Elahi Galan Riveros 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (186-144). 5-4 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has an aggregate106-60 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

Musetti’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Cagliari Challenger.

Musetti has a composed 12-13 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cagliari Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Cagliari Challenger
Musetti's Record

Mariano Navone

Mariano Navone

23 - 9win/loss

Hard
0-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
23-8
Rank
45
High
29
LLLLWLLWLW
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-28 2-7 27-14 1-4 0-3 0-0
2023 40-23 0-1 40-21 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 0-1 44-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 40-24 0-0 40-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 23-8 4-2 19-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Navone reached the final after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-0 4-6 6-3, Emilio Nava 4-6 6-1 7-64 and Luciano Darderi 6-3 7-5.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-3 7-5). During the match Navone scored 73 points vs Darderi’s 56. Mariano was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Navone scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mariano Navone lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 75% of his first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Darderi 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Navone has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Navone’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Tigre Challenger, Rio de Janeiro and Bucharest.

Navone has a composed 23-9 win-loss record in 2024, 23-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Cagliari Challenger
Navone's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Musetti
M.Navone
5h:59
5h:59
Time on court​
7h:10
7h:10
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:48
1h:48
3
3
Match played
3
3
65
65
Games Played​
76
76
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
240
240
Total points​
286
286
80
80
Avg point​
95.3
95.3
91
91
Winners
101
101
30.3
30.3
Avg Winners​
33.7
33.7
38%
38%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
3
3
0.3
0.3
Avg Aces
1
1
7
7
Double Faults
7
7
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
91/132
91/132
1st won total​
101/166
101/166
69%
69%
1st won %
61%
61%
44/88
44/88
2nd won total​
51/93
51/93
50%
50%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
14/24
14/24
BP won
19/39
19/39
4.7/8
4.7/8
Avg BP won
6.3/13
6.3/13
!
58%
58%
Won
49%
49%
22
22
Conceded
28
28
7.3
7.3
Avg Conceded
9.3
9.3
9
9
Broken
11
11
3
3
Avg Broken
3.7
3.7
13
13
Saved
17
17
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Navone
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 8
Tot Games 65 76
Pts 240-197 286-238
Total Points 437 524
Winners 91 101
%Winners 38% 35%

Both Musetti and Navone played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set, while Mariano Navone surrendered 2 sets. Musetti has played 1 set(s) less than Navone (7 vs 8). Therefore, Musetti played 11 games less than Navone. Lorenzo scored 91 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mariano made 101 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Navone
Aces 1 3
Avg per match 0.3 1
1st in 132/220 166/259
%1st in 60% 64%
1st pts 91/132 101/166
%1st pts 69% 61%
2nd pts 44/88 51/93
%2nd pts 50% 55%

Musetti bagged 1 ace (0.3 per match). Navone also managed to score 3 aces (1 per match). Musetti won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Navone won 61% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Navone
Won 14 19
Converted 14/24 19/39
% Converted 58% 49%
Conceded 22 28
Saved 13 17
% Saved 59% 61%
Times Broken 9 11

The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Navone broke his opponents 19 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R2
Manuel		 1/4
Borges		 1/2
Elahi Galan Riveros		 Total
Score 7-64 7-64 1-6 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 26 22 17 65
pts 89-77 90-78 61-42 240-197
Total points 166 168 103 437
Winners 33 33 25 91
%Winners 37% 37% 41% 38%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 0 1
Double Faults 3 4 0 7
1st in 48/82 50/87 34/51 132/220
% 1st in 59% 57% 67% 60%
1st pts 33/48 33/50 25/34 91/132
% 1st pts 69% 66% 74% 69%
2nd pts 20/34 16/37 8/17 44/88
% 2nd pts 59% 43% 47% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 6 4 14
Converted 4/6 6/11 4/7 14/24
Converted % 67% 55% 57% 58%
Conceded 8 13 1 22
Saved 4/8 9/13 0/1 13
Saved % 50% 69% 0% 40%
Times Broken 4 4 1 9
Navone
R2
Mochizuki		 1/4
Nava		 1/2
Darderi		 Total
Score 6-0 4-6 6-3 4-6 6-1 7-64 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 25 30 21 76
pts 108-90 105-92 73-56 286-238
Total points 198 197 129 524
Winners 33 40 28 101
%Winners 31% 38% 38% 35%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 1 3
Double Faults 3 3 1 7
1st in 59/103 64/99 43/57 166/259
% 1st in 57% 65% 75% 64%
1st pts 33/59 40/64 28/43 101/166
% 1st pts 56% 63% 65% 61%
2nd pts 24/44 17/35 10/14 51/93
% 2nd pts 55% 49% 71% 55%
Breaks
Won 8 6 5 19
Converted 8/15 6/15 5/9 19/39
Converted % 53% 40% 56% 49%
Conceded 11 11 6 28
Saved 7/11 6/11 4/6 17
Saved % 64% 55% 67% 62%
Times Broken 4 5 2 11

Upcoming matches in the draw

Musetti
More Stats
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Navone

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