Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi will square off in the semifinal of the Cagliari Challenger for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:30 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.82
Mariano Navone -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Luciano Darderi

This will be the 5^th time that Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Navone and Darderi (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Navone won 6-2 6-3 in the 1^st round in Bucharest back in April 2024.

Highlights Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi – Bucharest 15-April-2024

Mariano Navone

Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Mariano reached the semifinal after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-0 4-6 6-3 and Emilio Nava 4-6 6-1 7-6⁴.

In the quarter against Nava, Navone recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-6⁴). During the match, Navone scored 105 points vs Nava’s 92. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Navone was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Mariano Navone lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 65% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Navone broke Nava 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mariano has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Navone has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (212-113). 22-8 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Navone has a compiled208-107 record in the last 7 years on clay.

The Argentine’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Tigre Challenger, Rio de Janeiro and Bucharest.

Navone has a composed 22-9 win-loss record in 2024, 22-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cagliari Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 60 (career-high), Luciano got to the semifinal after defeating Thiago Agustin Tirante 3-6 6-3 6-4, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 6-0 and Federico Coria 6-1 3-4 ret..

In the quarter against Coria, Luciano had a free pass after Coria retired on a 6-1 3-4 . scoreline.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Cordoba where he overcame Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-1 6-4.

Luciano has an overall 18-9 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Navone	Darderi
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	6	8
Tot Games	55	57
Pts	213-182	206-160
Total Points	395	366
Winners	73	58
%Winners	34%	28%

Navone played 2 matches while Darderi competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mariano Navone lost 2 sets, while Luciano Darderi dropped 2 sets. Navone has played 2 set(s) less than Darderi (6 vs 8). Therefore, Navone played 2 games less than Darderi. Navone scored 73 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Darderi struck 58 winners (28%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Navone	Darderi
Aces	2	5
Avg per match	1	1.7
1st in	123/202	78/169
%1st in	61%	46%
1st pts	73/123	58/78
%1st pts	59%	74%
2nd pts	41/79	45/91
%2nd pts	52%	49%

Navone managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Darderi managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Navone won 59% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Navone	Darderi
Won	14	16
Converted	14/30	16/33
% Converted	47%	48%
Conceded	22	15
Saved	13	7
% Saved	59%	47%
Times Broken	9	8

Mariano broke his opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. Navone conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Darderi broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. Luciano conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.

Navone
	R2 Mochizuki	1/4 Nava	Total
Score	6-0 4-6 6-3	4-6 6-1 7-64
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	25	30	55
pts	108-90	105-92	213-182
Total points	198	197	395
Winners	33	40	73
%Winners	31%	38%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	0	2
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	59/103	64/99	123/202
% 1st in	57%	65%	61%
1st pts	33/59	40/64	73/123
% 1st pts	56%	63%	59%
2nd pts	24/44	17/35	41/79
% 2nd pts	55%	49%	52%
Breaks
Won	8	6	14
Converted	8/15	6/15	14/30
Converted %	53%	40%	47%
Conceded	11	11	22
Saved	7/11	6/11	13
Saved %	64%	55%	60%
Times Broken	4	5	9

Darderi
	R1 Agustin	R2 Ugo	1/4 Coria	Total
Score	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-3 6-0	6-1 3-4 ret.
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	28	15	14	57
pts	91-87	58-32	57-41	206-160
Total points	178	90	98	366
Winners	28	12	18	58
%Winners	31%	21%	32%	28%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	1	5
Double Faults	1	1	1	3
1st in	37/81	14/36	27/52	78/169
% 1st in	46%	39%	52%	46%
1st pts	28/37	12/14	18/27	58/78
% 1st pts	76%	86%	67%	74%
2nd pts	18/44	16/22	11/25	45/91
% 2nd pts	41%	73%	44%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	5	5	16
Converted	6/17	5/10	5/6	16/33
Converted %	35%	50%	83%	48%
Conceded	9	0	6	15
Saved	4/9	0/0	3/6	7
Saved %	44%	–	50%	47%
Times Broken	5	0	3	8

Tennis Scores in Cagliari Challenger

• Mariano NavoneNavone – Emilio NavaNava (4-6 6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (w/o) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Federico CoriaCoria (6-1 3-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Radu Albot/Andrea PellegrinoAlbot/Andrea Pellegrino (7-5 4-6 11-9) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction