Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi will square off in the semifinal of the Cagliari Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:30 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.82
Mariano Navone -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Luciano Darderi
This will be the 5th time that Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Navone and Darderi (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Navone won 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in Bucharest back in April 2024.
Highlights Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi – Bucharest 15-April-2024
Mariano Navone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-28 | 2-7 | 27-14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 40-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 0-1 | 44-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-8 | 4-2 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Mariano reached the semifinal after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-0 4-6 6-3 and Emilio Nava 4-6 6-1 7-64.
In the quarter against Nava, Navone recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-64). During the match, Navone scored 105 points vs Nava’s 92. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Navone was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Mariano Navone lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 65% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Navone broke Nava 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mariano has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Navone has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (212-113). 22-8 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Navone has a compiled208-107 record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Tigre Challenger, Rio de Janeiro and Bucharest.
Navone has a composed 22-9 win-loss record in 2024, 22-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Luciano Darderi
18 - 10win/loss
44
32
LLLWLLLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-31 | 1-9 | 34-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-31 | 3-3 | 45-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 0-1 | 37-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 20-6 | 27-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60 (career-high), Luciano got to the semifinal after defeating Thiago Agustin Tirante 3-6 6-3 6-4, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 6-0 and Federico Coria 6-1 3-4 ret..
In the quarter against Coria, Luciano had a free pass after Coria retired on a 6-1 3-4 . scoreline.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Cordoba where he overcame Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-1 6-4.
Luciano has an overall 18-9 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navone | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 57 |
| Pts | 213-182 | 206-160 |
| Total Points | 395 | 366 |
| Winners | 73 | 58 |
| %Winners | 34% | 28% |
Navone played 2 matches while Darderi competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mariano Navone lost 2 sets, while Luciano Darderi dropped 2 sets. Navone has played 2 set(s) less than Darderi (6 vs 8). Therefore, Navone played 2 games less than Darderi. Navone scored 73 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Darderi struck 58 winners (28%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navone | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 123/202 | 78/169 |
| %1st in | 61% | 46% |
| 1st pts | 73/123 | 58/78 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 41/79 | 45/91 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 49% |
Navone managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Darderi managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Navone won 59% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navone | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 16 |
| Converted | 14/30 | 16/33 |
| % Converted | 47% | 48% |
| Conceded | 22 | 15 |
| Saved | 13 | 7 |
| % Saved | 59% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 8 |
Mariano broke his opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. Navone conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Darderi broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. Luciano conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Navone | ||||
| R2 Mochizuki |
1/4 Nava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | 4-6 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 30 | 55 | |
| pts | 108-90 | 105-92 | 213-182 | |
| Total points | 198 | 197 | 395 | |
| Winners | 33 | 40 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 38% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 59/103 | 64/99 | 123/202 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 33/59 | 40/64 | 73/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 63% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/44 | 17/35 | 41/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 49% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 6/15 | 14/30 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 40% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | 22 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 6/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 55% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Darderi | |||||
| R1 Agustin |
R2 Ugo |
1/4 Coria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 3-4 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 15 | 14 | 57 | |
| pts | 91-87 | 58-32 | 57-41 | 206-160 | |
| Total points | 178 | 90 | 98 | 366 | |
| Winners | 28 | 12 | 18 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 21% | 32% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/81 | 14/36 | 27/52 | 78/169 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 39% | 52% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 12/14 | 18/27 | 58/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 86% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/44 | 16/22 | 11/25 | 45/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 73% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 5/10 | 5/6 | 16/33 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 50% | 83% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 44% | – | 50% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWLW
LLLWLLLLLL Tennis Scores in Cagliari Challenger
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Emilio NavaNava (4-6 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (w/o) – See score progression
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Federico CoriaCoria (6-1 3-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Radu Albot/Andrea PellegrinoAlbot/Andrea Pellegrino (7-5 4-6 11-9) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
