Lorenzo Musetti and Daniel Elahi Galan will square off in the semifinal of the Cagliari Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.36
Daniel Elahi Galan -> 2.92

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Daniel Elahi Galan

This will be the 2^nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Daniel Elahi Galan face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Musetti won 6-3 6-0 in the quarter in Naples back in 2022.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniel Elahi Galan – Naples 21-October-2022

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 29, Musetti reached the semifinal after beating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-6⁴ 7-6⁴ and Nuno Borges 1-6 6-1 6-2.

In the quarter against Borges, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-1 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 90 points vs Borges’s 78. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 57% of his first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Borges 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Musetti has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (185-144). 4-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has an aggregate105-60 record in the last 7 years on clay.

Lorenzo has a compiled 11-13 win-loss record in 2024, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cagliari Challenger

Musetti has never competed in this tournament before.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Ranked no. 89, the Colombian got to the semifinal after beating Radu Albot 2-6 7-6³ 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 3-6 6-2 6-2 and Marton Fucsovics w/o.

In the quarter, Elahi Galan Riveros defeated Fucsovics (w/o). During the match Elahi Galan Riveros and Fucsovics scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 29 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Colombian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

About the serving games, Elahi Galan Riveros couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Daniel Elahi Galan conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elahi Galan Riveros has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The Colombian has an aggregate 10-11 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cagliari Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Elahi Galan Riveros
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	48	56
Pts	179-155	191-187
Total Points	334	378
Winners	66	60
%Winners	37%	31%

Both Musetti and Elahi Galan Riveros played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 1 set, while Daniel Elahi Galan surrendered 2 sets. Musetti has played 1 set(s) less than Elahi Galan Riveros (5 vs 6). Therefore, Musetti played 8 games less than Elahi Galan Riveros. The Italian scored 66 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Elahi Galan Riveros recorded 60 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Elahi Galan Riveros
Aces	1	9
Avg per match	0.5	4.5
1st in	98/169	103/188
%1st in	58%	55%
1st pts	66/98	60/103
%1st pts	67%	58%
2nd pts	36/71	41/85
%2nd pts	51%	48%

Musetti recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Elahi Galan Riveros also blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Musetti won 67% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Elahi Galan Riveros won 58% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Elahi Galan Riveros
Won	10	13
Converted	10/17	13/27
% Converted	59%	48%
Conceded	21	23
Saved	13	12
% Saved	62%	52%
Times Broken	8	11

The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Elahi Galan Riveros broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Elahi Galan Riveros conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 52% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R2 Manuel	1/4 Borges	Total
Score	7-64 7-64	1-6 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	26	22	48
pts	89-77	90-78	179-155
Total points	166	168	334
Winners	33	33	66
%Winners	37%	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1
Double Faults	3	4	7
1st in	48/82	50/87	98/169
% 1st in	59%	57%	58%
1st pts	33/48	33/50	66/98
% 1st pts	69%	66%	67%
2nd pts	20/34	16/37	36/71
% 2nd pts	59%	43%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/6	6/11	10/17
Converted %	67%	55%	59%
Conceded	8	13	21
Saved	4/8	9/13	13
Saved %	50%	69%	60%
Times Broken	4	4	8

Elahi Galan Riveros
	R1 Albot	R2 Eubanks	1/4 Fucsovics	Total
Score	2-6 7-63 6-4	3-6 6-2 6-2	w/o
Tot Set	3	3	–	6
Tot Games	31	25	–	56
pts	105-109	86-78	–	191-187
Total points	214	164	–	378
Winners	36	24	–	60
%Winners	34%	28%	–	31%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	–	9
Double Faults	0	1	–	1
1st in	57/108	46/80	–	103/188
% 1st in	53%	58%	–	55%
1st pts	36/57	24/46	–	60/103
% 1st pts	63%	52%	–	58%
2nd pts	22/51	19/34	–	41/85
% 2nd pts	43%	56%	–	48%
Breaks
Won	5	8	–	13
Converted	5/17	8/10	–	13/27
Converted %	29%	80%	–	48%
Conceded	12	11	–	23
Saved	6/12	6/11	–	12
Saved %	50%	55%	–	53%
Times Broken	6	5	–	11

Tennis Scores in Cagliari Challenger

• Mariano NavoneNavone – Emilio NavaNava (4-6 6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (w/o) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Federico CoriaCoria (6-1 3-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Emilio NavaNava (4-6 6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (w/o) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Federico CoriaCoria – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction