Lorenzo Musetti and Nuno Borges will clash against each other in the quarter of the Cagliari Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.61
Nuno Borges -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Nuno Borges

This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Nuno Borges fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Borges (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Borges won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Estoril back in April 2024.

Highlights Nuno Borges vs Lorenzo Musetti – Estoril 04-April-2024

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

11 - 13win/loss

Hard
6-7
I Hard
1-2
Clay
4-4
Rank
17
High
15
LLWWLLWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 46-29 13-12 18-10 3-4 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
2020 30-15 6-4 20-6 4-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 29, Musetti got to the quarter after defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-64 7-64.

In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (7-64 7-64). During the match, Musetti scored 89 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 77. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti was unable to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Manuel Cerundolo 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (184-144). 3-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has an aggregate104-60 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

The Italian has a composed 10-13 win-loss record in 2024, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cagliari Challenger

Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.

Cagliari Challenger
Musetti's Record

Nuno Borges

Nuno Borges

17 - 13win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
0-1
Clay
5-4
Rank
33
High
30
LLLLWWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-26 20-12 13-7 0-4 0-3 0-0
2023 37-26 20-11 8-7 6-4 3-4 0-0
2022 49-26 7-5 28-13 11-5 3-3 0-0
2021 52-21 6-4 46-17 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 31-7 29-4 2-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 56, Nuno got to the quarter after defeating Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 7-5 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-3 6-73 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Nuno defeated Nishioka (6-3 6-73 6-3). During the match Borges scored 118 points vs Nishioka’s 106. The Portuguese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Borges scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve 4 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 55% of his first serves in, winning 63% (42/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (27/54) on the 2nd serve. Nuno broke Nishioka 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nuno has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Phoenix Challenger where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-5 7-6(4).

The Portuguese has an overall 17-12 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Cagliari Challenger
Borges's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Musetti
N.Borges
2h:22
2h:22
Time on court​
!
4h:01
4h:01
!
2h:22
2h:22
Last match​
!
2h:33
2h:33
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
26
26
Games Played​
52
52
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
89
89
Total points​
188
188
89
89
Avg point​
94
94
33
33
Winners
72
72
33
33
Avg Winners​
36
36
37%
37%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
5
5
0
0
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
33/48
33/48
1st won total​
72/106
72/106
69%
69%
1st won %
68%
68%
20/34
20/34
2nd won total​
37/76
37/76
59%
59%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
4/6
4/6
BP won
13/20
13/20
4/6
4/6
Avg BP won
6.5/10
6.5/10
!
67%
67%
Won
!
65%
65%
8
8
Conceded
20
20
8
8
Avg Conceded
10
10
4
4
Broken
6
6
4
4
Avg Broken
3
3
4
4
Saved
14
14
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Borges
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 26 52
Pts 89-77 188-158
Total Points 166 346
Winners 33 72
%Winners 37% 38%

Musetti played 1 match while Borges competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Nuno Borges surrendered 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t dropped a set so far. Musetti has played 3 set(s) less than Borges (2 vs 5). Therefore, Musetti played 26 games less than Borges. Musetti scored 33 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nuno recorded 72 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Borges
Aces 0 5
Avg per match 0 2.5
1st in 48/82 106/182
%1st in 59% 58%
1st pts 33/48 72/106
%1st pts 69% 68%
2nd pts 20/34 37/76
%2nd pts 59% 49%

Musetti didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Borges managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Musetti won 69% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Borges
Won 4 13
Converted 4/6 13/20
% Converted 67% 65%
Conceded 8 20
Saved 4 14
% Saved 50% 70%
Times Broken 4 6

The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Nuno conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R2
Manuel		 Total
Score 7-64 7-64
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 26 26
pts 89-77 89-77
Total points 166 166
Winners 33 33
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 48/82 48/82
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 33/48 33/48
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 20/34 20/34
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 4/8 4
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 4
Borges
R1
Maestrelli		 R2
Nishioka		 Total
Score 6-3 7-5 6-3 6-73 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 21 31 52
pts 70-52 118-106 188-158
Total points 122 224 346
Winners 30 42 72
%Winners 43% 36% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 39/61 67/121 106/182
% 1st in 64% 55% 58%
1st pts 30/39 42/67 72/106
% 1st pts 77% 63% 68%
2nd pts 10/22 27/54 37/76
% 2nd pts 45% 50% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 8 13
Converted 5/7 8/13 13/20
Converted % 71% 62% 65%
Conceded 4 16 20
Saved 2/4 12/16 14
Saved % 50% 75% 125%
Times Broken 2 4 6

Upcoming matches in the draw

Musetti
More Stats
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Borges

Click for FULL STATS