Luciano Darderi and Federico Coria will square off in the quarter of the Cagliari Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:30 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.68
Federico Coria -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Federico Coria
This will be the 4th time that Luciano Darderi and Federico Coria square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Coria (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Darderi won 6-2 7-6(4) in the 1st round in the Buenos Aires Challenger back in 2022.
Luciano Darderi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-30 | 6-11 | 30-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-31 | 1-9 | 34-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-31 | 3-3 | 45-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 0-1 | 37-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 20-6 | 27-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60 (career-high), Luciano reached the quarter after beating Thiago Agustin Tirante 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Darderi had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-3 6-0). During the match, Darderi scored 58 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 32. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 12 winners.
Talking about the service games, Darderi bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Luciano Darderi was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (12/14) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Ugo Carabelli 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luciano has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Darderi has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (159-94). 17-7 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Darderi has a compiled135-79 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Cordoba where he defeated Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-1 6-4.
Darderi has a composed 17-9 win-loss record in 2024, 17-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-18 | 0-1 | 20-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-35 | 0-3 | 45-31 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 83, Coria got to the quarter after defeating Fabio Fognini 7-64 3-1 ret. and Frances Tiafoe 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Coria had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-1 7-5). During the match Coria scored 65 points vs Tiafoe’s 49. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Coria was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 72% of his first serves in, winning 52% (24/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Tiafoe 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Coria’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Piracicaba Challenger.
The Argentine has an aggregate 19-12 win-loss record in 2024, 19-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Darderi | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 36 |
| Pts | 149-119 | 132-105 |
| Total Points | 268 | 237 |
| Winners | 40 | 46 |
| %Winners | 27% | 35% |
Both Darderi and Coria played 2 matches. At the moment, Luciano Darderi lost 1 set while Federico Coria hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Darderi and Coria have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Darderi played 7 games more than Coria. Darderi scored 40 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, Coria scored 46 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Darderi | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 51/117 | 85/123 |
| %1st in | 44% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 40/51 | 46/85 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 54% |
| 2nd pts | 34/66 | 23/38 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 61% |
Darderi scored 4 aces (2 per match). Coria managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Darderi won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Coria won 54% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Darderi | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/27 | 11/20 |
| % Converted | 41% | 55% |
| Conceded | 9 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 44% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
Luciano broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Luciano conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Federico conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Darderi | ||||
| R1 Agustin |
R2 Ugo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 15 | 43 | |
| pts | 91-87 | 58-32 | 149-119 | |
| Total points | 178 | 90 | 268 | |
| Winners | 28 | 12 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 21% | 27% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/81 | 14/36 | 51/117 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 39% | 44% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 12/14 | 40/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 86% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/44 | 16/22 | 34/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 73% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 5/10 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 44% | – | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Coria | ||||
| R1 Fognini |
R2 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 3-1 ret. | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 67-56 | 65-49 | 132-105 | |
| Total points | 123 | 114 | 237 | |
| Winners | 22 | 24 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 46/64 | 85/123 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 22/39 | 24/46 | 46/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 52% | 54% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 10/18 | 23/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 56% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 7/9 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 78% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 4/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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