Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva will play each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.41
Mirra Andreeva -> 2.92

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva

This will be the 2^nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-1 in the 4^th round in Madrid back in 2023.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva – Madrid 01-May-2023

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 2, Aryna got to the quarter after defeating Magda Linette 6-4 3-6 6-3, Robin Montgomery 6-1 6-7⁵ 6-4 and Danielle Rose Collins 4-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 4^th round against Collins, The Belarussian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 97 points vs Collins’s 87. Aryna was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 66% of her first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Collins 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka has conceded 3 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (336-159). 4-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate66-36 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Aryna has an overall 18-5 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Mirra Andreeva

Ranked no. 43, Andreeva got to the quarter after defeating Taylor Townsend 4-6 6-1 7-5, Linda Noskova 4-6 6-3 6-3, Marketa Vondrousova 7-5 6-1 and Jasmine Paolini 7-6² 6-4.

In the 4^th round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Paolini (7-6² 6-4). During the match Andreeva scored 78 points vs Paolini’s 73. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Andreeva made 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mirra Andreeva lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 66% of her first serves in, winning 57% (32/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Paolini 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Andreeva has a composed 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Andreeva
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	87	99
Pts	296-267	330-283
Total Points	563	613
Winners	133	133
%Winners	45%	40%

Sabalenka played 3 matches while Andreeva competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka dropped 3 sets, while Mirra Andreeva surrendered 2 sets. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Andreeva (9 vs 10). Therefore, Sabalenka played 12 games less than Andreeva. The Belarussian scored 133 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Andreeva scored 133 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Andreeva
Aces	22	12
Avg per match	7.3	3
1st in	184/282	208/313
%1st in	65%	66%
1st pts	133/184	133/208
%1st pts	72%	64%
2nd pts	50/98	46/105
%2nd pts	51%	44%

Sabalenka made 22 aces (7.3 per match). Andreeva blasted 12 aces (3 per match). Sabalenka won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Andreeva
Won	12	26
Converted	12/23	26/42
% Converted	52%	62%
Conceded	23	32
Saved	17	15
% Saved	74%	47%
Times Broken	6	17

The Belarussian broke her opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded. Mirra broke her opponents 26 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 17 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Linette	R3 Montgomery	R4 Collins	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 6-3	6-1 6-75 6-4	4-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	28	30	29	87
pts	90-92	109-88	97-87	296-267
Total points	182	197	184	563
Winners	41	51	41	133
%Winners	46%	47%	42%	45%
SERVE
Aces	10	8	4	22
Double Faults	6	4	4	14
1st in	52/90	72/101	60/91	184/282
% 1st in	58%	71%	66%	65%
1st pts	41/52	51/72	41/60	133/184
% 1st pts	79%	71%	68%	72%
2nd pts	18/38	18/29	14/31	50/98
% 2nd pts	47%	62%	45%	51%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6	12
Converted	2/6	4/8	6/9	12/23
Converted %	33%	50%	67%	52%
Conceded	9	3	11	23
Saved	8/9	2/3	7/11	17
Saved %	89%	67%	64%	73%
Times Broken	1	1	4	6

Andreeva
	R1 Townsend	R2 Noskova	R3 Vondrousova	R4 Paolini	Total
Score	4-6 6-1 7-5	4-6 6-3 6-3	7-5 6-1	7-62 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	10
Tot Games	29	28	19	23	99
pts	95-86	93-81	64-43	78-73	330-283
Total points	181	174	107	151	613
Winners	44	34	23	32	133
%Winners	46%	37%	36%	41%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	0	5	12
Double Faults	3	2	0	1	6
1st in	65/96	53/87	34/45	56/85	208/313
% 1st in	68%	61%	76%	66%	66%
1st pts	44/65	34/53	23/34	32/56	133/208
% 1st pts	68%	64%	68%	57%	64%
2nd pts	14/31	15/34	5/11	12/29	46/105
% 2nd pts	45%	44%	45%	41%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	7	7	6	26
Converted	6/11	7/11	7/12	6/8	26/42
Converted %	55%	64%	58%	75%	62%
Conceded	9	10	5	8	32
Saved	5/9	5/10	2/5	3/8	15
Saved %	56%	50%	40%	38%	61%
Times Broken	4	5	3	5	17

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (4-6 6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Su-Wei Hsieh/Elise MertensHsieh/Elise Mertens – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Jelena OstapenkoKichenok/Jelena Ostapenko (6-7⁰ 6-2 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (6-3 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zihao XiaXia – Ze ZhangZhang (5-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• James WardWard – Duckhee LeeLee (3-6 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Madison KeysKeys – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-0) – H2H and prediction