Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo will face off in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 9:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.71
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 2nd time that Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Cerundolo won 3-6 6-3 6-4 7-5 in the 3rd round in at the French Open back in 2023.
Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Taylor Fritz – French Open 03-June-2023
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 31-12 | 3-4 | 6-5 | 13-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Fritz got to the quarter after beating Luciano Darderi 7-61 6-4, Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-3 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-62 6-4.
In the 4th round, Taylor had a good straight sets win against Hurkacz (7-62 6-4). During the match, Fritz scored 74 points vs Hurkacz’s 59. The American was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fritz bagged 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Taylor Fritz was quite efficient on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fritz broke Hurkacz once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fritz hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Fritz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (353-214). 6-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fritz has a composed 50-37 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Delray Beach where he beat Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3.
Fritz has a compiled 18-7 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Francisco Cerundolo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-25 | 12-8 | 21-11 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Cerundolo got to the quarter after defeating Fabian Marozsan 6-2 7-65, Tommy Paul 6-77 6-4 6-2 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4.
In the 4th round, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 6-4). During the match Cerundolo scored 63 points vs Zverev’s 52. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Cerundolo scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francisco Cerundolo was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francisco broke Zverev twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Cerundolo’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Rio de Janeiro.
The Argentine has an overall 12-12 win-loss record in 2024, 9-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 71 |
| Pts | 202-154 | 245-210 |
| Total Points | 356 | 455 |
| Winners | 97 | 122 |
| %Winners | 48% | 50% |
Both Fritz and Cerundolo played 3 matches. At the moment, Francisco Cerundolo conceded 1 set while Taylor Fritz hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set(s) less than Cerundolo (6 vs 7). Therefore, Fritz played 8 games less than Cerundolo. The American scored 97 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Francisco recorded 122 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 112/162 | 165/239 |
| %1st in | 69% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 97/112 | 122/165 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 35/50 | 35/74 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 47% |
Fritz made 30 aces (10 per match). Cerundolo struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Fritz won 87% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 11 |
| Converted | 6/18 | 11/19 |
| % Converted | 33% | 58% |
| Conceded | 2 | 16 |
| Saved | 1 | 12 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Taylor broke his opponents 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Cerundolo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||||
| R2 Darderi |
R3 Baez |
R4 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 | 23 | 63 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 59-38 | 74-59 | 202-154 | |
| Total points | 126 | 97 | 133 | 356 | |
| Winners | 33 | 29 | 35 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 49% | 47% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 11 | 10 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 34/44 | 40/61 | 112/162 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 77% | 66% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 29/34 | 35/40 | 97/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 85% | 88% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 7/10 | 16/21 | 35/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 70% | 76% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/7 | 1/5 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 20% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | – | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cerundolo | |||||
| R2 Marozsan |
R3 Paul |
R4 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | 6-77 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 31 | 19 | 71 | |
| pts | 76-66 | 106-92 | 63-52 | 245-210 | |
| Total points | 142 | 198 | 115 | 455 | |
| Winners | 39 | 50 | 33 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 47% | 52% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 55/72 | 68/103 | 42/64 | 165/239 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 66% | 66% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 50/68 | 33/42 | 122/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 74% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 16/35 | 12/22 | 35/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 46% | 55% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/11 | 2/3 | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 45% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5/7 | 2/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | 100% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLWLWL
LLWWLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Alexander BublikBublik – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (6-1 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (5-7 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-77 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (2-4) – H2H and prediction
