Ons Jabeur and Madison Keys will play each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ons Jabeur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ons Jabeur is the pick to win this match.
Ons Jabeur -> 1.65
Madison Keys -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 3rd time that Ons Jabeur and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Jabeur (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Jabeur won 7-5 6-1 in the 2nd round in San Jose back in 2022.
Ons Jabeur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-17 | 18-11 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-17 | 19-12 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 25-12 | 13-4 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-11 | 18-8 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Jabeur got to the quarter after beating Anna Schmiedlova 6-4 5-7 6-3, Leylah Annie Fernandez 7-5 2-6 6-4 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-0 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Tunisian had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-0 6-4). During the match, Jabeur scored 60 points vs Ostapenko’s 40. Jabeur was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Jabeur blasted 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Ons Jabeur lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Jabeur put 52% of her first serves in, winning 77% (20/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The Tunisian broke Ostapenko 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ons has lost 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.
Jabeur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (303-180). 4-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Jabeur has an overall 97-45 record in the last years on clay.
Jabeur has a compiled 6-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-5 | 3-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the American got to the quarter after beating Irina-Camelia Begu 7-63 7-66, Liudmila Samsonova 6-2 6-3 and Cori Gauff 7-64 4-6 6-4.
In the 4th round, Keys defeated Gauff (7-64 4-6 6-4).During the match Keys scored less points (4) than Gauff. In fact, the world no. 9 won 111 points vs Gauff’s. That means that Keys was more focused during the important points. The American was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Keys scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 7 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 64% of her first serves in, winning 58% (45/77) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (18/44) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Gauff 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Madison has a compiled 6-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jabeur | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 76 |
| Pts | 271-244 | 270-248 |
| Total Points | 515 | 518 |
| Winners | 97 | 119 |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% |
Both Jabeur and Keys played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ons Jabeur conceded 2 sets, while Madison Keys conceded 1 set. Jabeur has played 1 set more than Keys (8 vs 7). Therefore, Jabeur played 1 game more than Keys. Jabeur scored 97 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 119 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jabeur | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 145/252 | 181/272 |
| %1st in | 58% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 97/145 | 119/181 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 48/107 | 40/91 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 44% |
Jabeur bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Keys scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Jabeur won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jabeur | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 14 |
| Converted | 18/36 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded | 30 | 32 |
| Saved | 18 | 22 |
| % Saved | 60% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 10 |
The Tunisian broke her opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Tunisian lost her serve 12 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Madison broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Jabeur | |||||
| R2 Anna Schmiedlova |
R3 Annie |
R4 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 30 | 16 | 77 | |
| pts | 107-100 | 104-104 | 60-40 | 271-244 | |
| Total points | 207 | 208 | 100 | 515 | |
| Winners | 35 | 42 | 20 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 62/104 | 57/98 | 26/50 | 145/252 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 58% | 52% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 35/62 | 42/57 | 20/26 | 97/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 74% | 77% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/42 | 14/41 | 12/24 | 48/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 34% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 5 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 5/17 | 5/6 | 18/36 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 29% | 83% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 13 | 2 | 30 | |
| Saved | 9/15 | 8/13 | 1/2 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 62% | 50% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 | |
| Keys | |||||
| R2 Begu |
R3 Samsonova |
R4 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-66 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-64 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 33 | 76 | |
| pts | 93-89 | 66-44 | 111-115 | 270-248 | |
| Total points | 182 | 110 | 226 | 518 | |
| Winners | 45 | 29 | 45 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% | 41% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 67/98 | 37/53 | 77/121 | 181/272 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 70% | 64% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 45/67 | 29/37 | 45/77 | 119/181 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 78% | 58% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/31 | 9/16 | 18/44 | 40/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 56% | 41% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/6 | 7/14 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 67% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 4 | 15 | 32 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 4/4 | 8/15 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 100% | 53% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWWWW
LWWWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
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- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- James WardWard – Duckhee LeeLee (3-6 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
