Jasmine Paolini and Mirra Andreeva will square off in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mirra Andreeva who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mirra Andreeva is the pick to win this match.
Mirra Andreeva -> 1.84
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.97

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Mirra Andreeva

There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Mirra Andreeva since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

16 - 9win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
4-2
Rank
12
High
12
LWWLWWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 16-9 12-6 4-2 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 13 (career-high), the Italian got to the 4th round after defeating Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-0 6-1 and Caroline Garcia 6-3 6-2.

In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Garcia (6-3 6-2). During the match, Paolini scored 62 points vs Garcia’s 39. Jasmine was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paolini struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 76% of her first serves in, winning 88% (28/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Garcia 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paolini hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 63% of the points she played.

Paolini has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (301-233). 4-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has an overall 155-98 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Dubai where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Jasmine has an aggregate 16-8 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Paolini's Record

Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva

12 - 5win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-1
Rank
40
High
33
LWWWWLWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-6 6-4 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 36-9 7-4 23-4 0-0 6-1 0-0
2022 39-9 21-5 18-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 43, Mirra got to the 4th round after beating Taylor Townsend 4-6 6-1 7-5, Linda Noskova 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Marketa Vondrousova 7-5 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Andreeva had a good straight sets win against Vondrousova (7-5 6-1). During the match Andreeva scored 64 points vs Vondrousova’s 43. Andreeva was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Andreeva was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mirra Andreeva lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 76% of her first serves in, winning 68% (23/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. Andreeva broke Vondrousova 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Andreeva has a composed 11-5 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th

round in 2023. See her history.
Madrid
Andreeva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
M.Andreeva
2h:02
2h:02
Time on court​
!
5h:17
5h:17
1h:03
1h:03
Last match​
1h:15
1h:15
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
30
30
Games Played​
76
76
4
4
Set played​​
8
8
123
123
Total points​
252
252
61.5
61.5
Avg point​
84
84
52
52
Winners
101
101
26
26
Avg Winners​
33.7
33.7
42%
42%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
7
7
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
2
2
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
52/66
52/66
1st won total​
101/152
101/152
!
79%
79%
1st won %
66%
66%
8/16
8/16
2nd won total​
34/76
34/76
50%
50%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
11/25
11/25
BP won
20/34
20/34
5.5/12.5
5.5/12.5
Avg BP won
6.7/11.3
6.7/11.3
44%
44%
Won
!
59%
59%
6
6
Conceded
24
24
3
3
Avg Conceded
8
8
2
2
Broken
12
12
1
1
Avg Broken
4
4
4
4
Saved
12
12
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Andreeva
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 8
Tot Games 30 76
Pts 123-71 252-210
Total Points 194 462
Winners 52 101
%Winners 42% 40%

Paolini played 2 matches while Andreeva competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Mirra Andreeva dropped 2 sets while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t conceded a set so far. Paolini has played 4 set(s) less than Andreeva (4 vs 8). Therefore, Paolini played 46 games less than Andreeva. Jasmine scored 52 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Mirra blasted 101 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Andreeva
Aces 3 7
Avg per match 1.5 2.3
1st in 66/82 152/228
%1st in 80% 67%
1st pts 52/66 101/152
%1st pts 79% 66%
2nd pts 8/16 34/76
%2nd pts 50% 45%

Paolini fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Andreeva scored 7 aces (2.3 per match). Paolini won 79% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Andreeva
Won 11 20
Converted 11/25 20/34
% Converted 44% 59%
Conceded 6 24
Saved 4 12
% Saved 67% 50%
Times Broken 2 12

Jasmine broke her opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jasmine lost her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Andreeva broke her opponents 20 times with a 59% conversion rate. Mirra conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R2
Jimenez		 R3
Garcia		 Total
Score 6-0 6-1 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 13 17 30
pts 61-32 62-39 123-71
Total points 93 101 194
Winners 24 28 52
%Winners 39% 45% 42%
SERVE
Aces 0 3 3
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 34/40 32/42 66/82
% 1st in 85% 76% 80%
1st pts 24/34 28/32 52/66
% 1st pts 71% 88% 79%
2nd pts 3/6 5/10 8/16
% 2nd pts 50% 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 7 4 11
Converted 7/14 4/11 11/25
Converted % 50% 36% 44%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 3/4 1/2 4
Saved % 75% 50% 63%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Andreeva
R1
Townsend		 R2
Noskova		 R3
Vondrousova		 Total
Score 4-6 6-1 7-5 4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 29 28 19 76
pts 95-86 93-81 64-43 252-210
Total points 181 174 107 462
Winners 44 34 23 101
%Winners 46% 37% 36% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 4 0 7
Double Faults 3 2 0 5
1st in 65/96 53/87 34/45 152/228
% 1st in 68% 61% 76% 67%
1st pts 44/65 34/53 23/34 101/152
% 1st pts 68% 64% 68% 66%
2nd pts 14/31 15/34 5/11 34/76
% 2nd pts 45% 44% 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 6 7 7 20
Converted 6/11 7/11 7/12 20/34
Converted % 55% 64% 58% 59%
Conceded 9 10 5 24
Saved 5/9 5/10 2/5 12
Saved % 56% 50% 40% 73%
Times Broken 4 5 3 12

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw

Paolini
More Stats
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Andreeva

Click for FULL STATS