Blake Ellis and Jie Cui will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jie Cui who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jie Cui is the pick to win this match.
Jie Cui -> 1.87
Blake Ellis -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Blake Ellis vs. Jie Cui
This will be the 2nd time that Blake Ellis and Jie Cui face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ellis (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Ellis won 6-1 6-4 in the qualifications in the Matsuyama Challenger back in 2023.
Blake Ellis
16 - 11win/loss
372
348
LWWWLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-29 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-14 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 393, the Australian got to the qualifications after beating Luke Saville 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Saville (6-4 6-1). During the match, Ellis scored 63 points vs Saville’s 45. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ellis fired 3 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Blake Ellis lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ellis put 64% of his first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Saville 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Ellis has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (193-144). 10-9 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ellis has a compiled 151-122 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Mildura and M25 Swan Hill.
Blake has an aggregate 16-11 win-loss record in 2024, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Blake has never competed in this tournament before.
Jie Cui
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-8 | 17-7 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 36-21 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-10 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 443 (career-high), the Chinese reached the qualifications after defeating Kamil Majchrzak 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Majchrzak (6-2 6-3). During the match Cui scored 64 points vs Majchrzak’s 46. Cui was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Cui recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jie Cui was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (20/25) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cui broke Majchrzak 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Cui’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Nakhon Si Thammarat.
Cui has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ellis | Cui |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 |
| Pts | 63-45 | 64-46 |
| Total Points | 108 | 110 |
| Winners | 27 | 20 |
| %Winners | 43% | 31% |
Both Ellis and Cui played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ellis and Cui have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (17). Blake scored 27 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese bagged 20 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ellis | Cui |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 39/61 | 25/48 |
| %1st in | 64% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 20/25 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 15/23 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 65% |
Ellis made 3 aces . Cui scored 4 aces . Ellis won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Cui won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ellis | Cui |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Saved | 6 | 2 |
| % Saved | 86% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ellis surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Cui broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Jie was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Ellis | |||
| Q1 Saville |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 63-45 | 63-45 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/61 | 39/61 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 27/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 14/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Cui | |||
| Q1 Majchrzak |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 64-46 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/48 | 25/48 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 20/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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