Yuta Shimizu and Yan Bai will face off in the qualifications of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yuta Shimizu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yuta Shimizu is the pick to win this match.
Yuta Shimizu -> 1.533
Yan Bai -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Yuta Shimizu vs. Yan Bai
This will be the 4th time that Yuta Shimizu and Yan Bai square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Shimizu (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Shimizu won 4-6 3-3 ret. in the final in M25 Yinchuan back in 2019.
Yuta Shimizu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-11 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 35-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-23 | 36-21 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-12 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 279, the Japanese got to the qualifications after beating Dominik Palan 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Yuta had a good straight sets win against Palan (6-4 6-4). During the match, Shimizu scored 68 points vs Palan’s 59. Yuta was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shimizu fired 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Yuta Shimizu was very efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shimizu broke Palan twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Shimizu has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (227-123). 5-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shimizu has a composed173-94 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the New Delhi Challenger and the Hamburg Challenger.
Yuta has a composed 9-8 win-loss record in 2024, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Yan Bai
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-8 | 18-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-16 | 42-13 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340, Bai got to the qualifications after beating Zijiang Yang 6-1 6-0.
In the qualifications, Bai had a good straight sets win against Yang (6-1 6-0). During the match Bai scored 51 points vs Yang’s 17. Bai was pretty aggressive to blast 15 winners.
About the serving games, Bai fired 4 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yan Bai was very efficient on serve to win 100% (15/15) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yan broke Yang 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Yan’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Hinode.
Yan has a compiled 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shimizu | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 13 |
| Pts | 68-59 | 51-17 |
| Total Points | 127 | 68 |
| Winners | 29 | 15 |
| %Winners | 43% | 29% |
Both Shimizu and Bai played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shimizu and Bai have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shimizu played 7 games more than Bai. Yuta scored 29 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Bai scored 15 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shimizu | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 15/30 |
| %1st in | 60% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 15/15 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 100% |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 10/15 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 67% |
Shimizu made 2 aces . Bai struck 4 aces . Shimizu won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Bai won 100% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shimizu | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 29% | 60% |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Yuta broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Shimizu pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Bai broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Chinese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Shimizu | |||
| Q1 Palan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 68-59 | 68-59 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 38/63 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 29/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 15/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bai | |||
| Q1 Yang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 51-17 | 51-17 | |
| Total points | 68 | 68 | |
| Winners | 15 | 15 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 15/30 | 15/30 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 15/15 | 15/15 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLLWW
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