Casper Ruud and Cameron Norrie will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.34
Cameron Norrie -> 3.28
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Cameron Norrie
This will be the 5th time that Casper Ruud and Cameron Norrie square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Norrie won 6-4 6-7(7) 6-4 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Casper Ruud – Australian Open 20-January-2024
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-9 | 17-5 | 13-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Casper reached the 3rd round after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-4 6-1). During the match, Ruud scored 55 points vs Kecmanovic’s 39. Casper was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud bagged 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Casper broke Kecmanovic 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (383-200). 12-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an aggregate 224-97 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 7-5 6-3.
The Norwegian has a composed 30-7 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Cameron Norrie
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-10 | 7-4 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-15 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Norrie reached the 3rd round after defeating Joao Fonseca 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Cameron had a good straight sets win against Fonseca (6-1 6-4). During the match Norrie scored 61 points vs Fonseca’s 42. The Brit was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Norrie scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie was extremely efficient on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Fonseca 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Norrie’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Rio de Janeiro.
Norrie has a composed 13-8 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 |
| Pts | 55-39 | 61-42 |
| Total Points | 94 | 103 |
| Winners | 21 | 32 |
| %Winners | 38% | 52% |
Both Ruud and Norrie played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ruud and Norrie have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (17). Ruud scored 21 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Norrie blasted 32 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 31/53 | 38/54 |
| %1st in | 58% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 32/38 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 9/16 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 56% |
Ruud blasted 4 aces . Norrie struck 1 ace . Ruud won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Norrie won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 67% | 60% |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 57% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Casper broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Casper lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Norrie broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Norrie was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Ruud | |||
| R2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 55-39 | 55-39 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/53 | 31/53 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 21/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 10/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Norrie | |||
| R2 Fonseca |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 61-42 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/54 | 38/54 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 32/38 | 32/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LWLWLWWLLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Casper RuudRuud (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
