
Karen Khachanov and Flavio Cobolli will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 9:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.27
Flavio Cobolli -> 3.78
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Flavio Cobolli
There is no head to head record between Karen Khachanov and Flavio Cobolli since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Karen Khachanov
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 3-6 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Bautista-Agut, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Khachanov scored 90 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 85. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Khachanov scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Karen Khachanov was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (41/55) of his 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Khachanov was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Bautista-Agut twice.
Khachanov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (352-223). 4-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Khachanov has an overall 92-60 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where he overcame Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4.
Karen has an aggregate 16-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Flavio Cobolli
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 43-29 | 26-13 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 64, Cobolli reached the 3rd round after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 5-7 6-4 6-4 and Nicolas Jarry 6-3 3-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Cobolli defeated Jarry (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match Cobolli scored 100 points vs Jarry’s 85. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Cobolli struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 58% of his first serves in, winning 77% (41/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. Cobolli broke Jarry 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cobolli has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Flavio has a composed 19-11 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Cobolli has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Khachanov | Cobolli |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
Tot Games | 30 | 59 |
Pts | 90-85 | 195-175 |
Total Points | 175 | 370 |
Winners | 41 | 80 |
%Winners | 46% | 41% |
Khachanov played 1 match while Cobolli competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov conceded 1 set, while Flavio Cobolli dropped 2 sets. Khachanov has played 3 set(s) less than Cobolli (3 vs 6). Therefore, Khachanov played 29 games less than Cobolli. Khachanov scored 41 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Cobolli scored 80 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Khachanov | Cobolli |
---|---|---|
Aces | 8 | 15 |
Avg per match | 8 | 7.5 |
1st in | 55/85 | 114/180 |
%1st in | 65% | 63% |
1st pts | 41/55 | 80/114 |
%1st pts | 75% | 70% |
2nd pts | 19/30 | 38/66 |
%2nd pts | 63% | 58% |
Khachanov recorded 8 aces . Cobolli blasted 15 aces (7.5 per match). Khachanov won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Khachanov | Cobolli |
---|---|---|
Won | 2 | 7 |
Converted | 2/2 | 7/21 |
% Converted | 100% | 33% |
Conceded | 4 | 15 |
Saved | 3 | 10 |
% Saved | 75% | 67% |
Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Karen broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Khachanov conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Cobolli broke his opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. Cobolli conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
Khachanov | |||
R2 Bautista-Agut |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
pts | 90-85 | 90-85 | |
Total points | 175 | 175 | |
Winners | 41 | 41 | |
%Winners | 46% | 46% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 8 | 8 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 55/85 | 55/85 | |
% 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
1st pts | 41/55 | 41/55 | |
% 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
2nd pts | 19/30 | 19/30 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Cobolli | ||||
R1 Tabilo |
R2 Jarry |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 32 | 27 | 59 | |
pts | 95-90 | 100-85 | 195-175 | |
Total points | 185 | 185 | 370 | |
Winners | 39 | 41 | 80 | |
%Winners | 41% | 41% | 41% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 12 | 3 | 15 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
1st in | 61/89 | 53/91 | 114/180 | |
% 1st in | 69% | 58% | 63% | |
1st pts | 39/61 | 41/53 | 80/114 | |
% 1st pts | 64% | 77% | 70% | |
2nd pts | 19/28 | 19/38 | 38/66 | |
% 2nd pts | 68% | 50% | 58% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Converted | 4/10 | 3/11 | 7/21 | |
Converted % | 40% | 27% | 33% | |
Conceded | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
Saved | 3/6 | 7/9 | 10 | |
Saved % | 50% | 78% | 128% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Casper RuudRuud (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction