Jannik Sinner and Pavel Kotov will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.021
Pavel Kotov -> 13.75
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Pavel Kotov
There is no head to head record between Jannik Sinner and Pavel Kotov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-2 | 17-1 | 6-1 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Sinner reached the 3rd round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Sonego (6-0 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 56 points vs Sonego’s 30. Sinner was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner struck 2 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Sonego 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 72% of his matches (299-115). 4-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed78-37 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1.
The Italian has an aggregate 26-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 72, Kotov reached the 3rd round after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-3 6-4 and Jordan Thompson 5-7 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Thompson, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 7-5). During the match Kotov scored 113 points vs Thompson’s 112. Kotov was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.
About the serving games, Kotov was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Pavel Kotov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 71% of his first serves in, winning 68% (54/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Thompson 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kotov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Pavel’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech.
Kotov has a compiled 9-8 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 53 |
| Pts | 56-30 | 173-155 |
| Total Points | 86 | 328 |
| Winners | 25 | 87 |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% |
Sinner played 1 match while Kotov competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Pavel Kotov lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Kotov (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sinner played 38 games less than Kotov. Jannik scored 25 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Kotov recorded 87 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 121/167 |
| %1st in | 69% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 87/121 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 20/46 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 43% |
Sinner made 2 aces . Kotov blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Sinner won 86% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 57% | 44% |
| Conceded | 0 | 14 |
| Saved | 0 | 9 |
| % Saved | 0% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Sinner broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Italian pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||
| R2 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 56-30 | 56-30 | |
| Total points | 86 | 86 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 29/42 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 25/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 8/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kotov | ||||
| R1 Ramos-Vinolas |
R2 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 5-7 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 34 | 53 | |
| pts | 60-43 | 113-112 | 173-155 | |
| Total points | 103 | 225 | 328 | |
| Winners | 33 | 54 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 48% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/55 | 79/112 | 121/167 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 54/79 | 87/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 68% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 14/33 | 20/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 42% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/13 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 38% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 7/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 64% | 131% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWWW
LWLWWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Casper RuudRuud (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
